kidderek wrote:
That's not quite right. A 740 was right smack in the 98%ile as late as the end of 2006, probably longer.
Indeed. I'm just guessing, based on past data. I suspect that scores have increased because people have taken GMAT preparation more seriously in recent years. There's a limit to how much time test-takers can invest in preparation, and my guess is we're getting close to that limit. Still, forums like this one are of great benefit to GMAT takers, and there may still be further improvement to come in the test population- we'll see. But I think at some point the score creep will slow, and my guess is we're getting close to that point.
kidderek wrote:
IanStewart wrote:
fatb wrote:
BTW, this is the reason why the first few questions are so much more important and I always take extra time on them.
That's a bit of a myth.
Not a myth. Not even a bit of a myth. Look in the gmat subthread to see the tests that others have done.
No, that's a myth. The scoring algorithm is not a secret; it's based on a body of psychometric testing theory that's been widely published. I've implemented a simulation of the scoring algorithm, and anyone else willing to do the research could as well. It is true that the first questions 'count more' if you manage to finish the test 'normally', that is, if you have time to attempt to answer the questions at your true ability level even at the end of the test. In that case, yes, the scoring system will have made bigger adjustments to your score at the beginning, and smaller adjustments later. But if you need to guess at several questions at the end of your test, your score will crater, without question, unless by blind luck you guess extremely well. And it's certainly true that questions at the end of the test can 'count' as much (i.e. adjust your score estimate as much) as questions at the beginning of the test.
IanStewart wrote:
StartupAddict wrote:
The impact is very minimal. GMATPrep has about 5000 questions or more, and I imagine the 'live' GMAT has more. If you see maybe 50 questions, every 3rd time you rewrite the GMAT you might see 1 repeat. And that wouldn't influence your score that much.
And what leads you to think GMATPrep has 5000 questions? I'd be surprised if it had even 25% of that number.
I'm not sure whether StartupAddict is exaggerating or not, however, he would know since he exhausted the GMATprep more than anyone. He's a bit of a clown who poops himself, but I think he would know about the number of questions on GMATPrep.[/quote]
I'll only say that 5000 questions is an extraodrdinarily large number- far more than the diagnostic tests need to make an ability assessment. Each test could make do with about 350 verbal and math questions apiece- probably less- so I'd guess there are about 1200 questions total in the GMATPrep database. Anyway, I'll wait for his response.