Updated Kellogg Analysis

Class Profile

https://www.kellogg.northwestern.edu/Pro ... ofile.aspx


I'm using Yield average from 2004 when it was 57%. Will this have stayed relatively the same? This is the only variable that we really don't know. The breakdown of yield.

If you take Enrolled as a percentage of Applicants, you get the following:
Enrolled...calculated at posted % of 650.
<650 = 39
650 - 690 = 143
700 - 740 = 325
750-800 = 143

Applicants
<650 = 683
650 - 690 = 1381
700 - 740 = 2541
750-800 = 884

Enrolled as % of Applicants
<650 = 5.7%
650 - 690 = 10.4%
700 - 740 = 12.8%
750-800 = 16.2%

If it's a 57% yield, that means that 650 = 57% of those accepted or 1140 were accepted.

As a % of those accepted:
<650 = 3.4%
650 - 690 = 12.5%
700 - 740 = 28.5%
750-800 = 12.5%

I just took the number enrolled for each section and figured out how many would have been accepted if the yield were equal (57%) for all. I realize this is not at all accurate, but it helps give an indication as to what might be more accurate numbers.

# if Enrolled is 57% of Accepted
<650 = 68
650 - 690 = 251
700 - 740 = 570
750-800 = 251

The thing that strikes me is 68 that scored < 650. If Kellogg actually accepted 68 that scored < 650, I think they would have at least 60 enrolled. Really, it has to be a reach for those people and they know it, but they got in. I think a more realistic Yield for this group is 90%.

I think the 650 - 690 range is going to be high as well, but certainly not as high. I could see 1/3 of those being accepted to another school they really wanted to attend, or the other school that wasn't as high as Kellogg accepted them with more $$ so they opted for the less expensive after scholarships. Still others will just say "Screw scholarship, I'm going to Kellogg and will pay it back in just a few years anyway!" Yield of 85%?

700 - 740 - this group is probably going to be rather flexible because they will likley have 2 or 3 schools in the top 15 to choose from (unless they applied to just the top 6 or 7 schools only!) so i think the yield for this one would be somewhere down around 50%.

750+ is probably going to have the most flexible applicants in the entire pool for obvious reason.
50?

This totals 1148 people accepted and 650 enrolled. This would be a yield of 57%.

So what would be the acceptance rate across each section then?
Acceptance rates based on estimated yields above
<650 = 6.3%
650 - 690 = 12.2%
700 - 740 = 25.6%
750-800 = 32.4%

If you do the following:
GMAT average per section:
<650 = 625
650 - 690 = 675
700 - 740 = 725
750-800 = 765

Now multiply the average * # in each section, total all and divide by 650 = 716.8 GMAT average.

HMMMMM......