acer2knight wrote:
One analyst predicts that Hong Kong can retain its capitalist ways after it becomes part of mainland China in 1997 as long as a capitalist Hong Kong is useful to China; that a capitalist Hong Kong will be useful to China as long as Hong Kong is prosperous; and that Hong Kong will remain prosperous as long as it retains its capitalist ways.
If the predictions above are correct, which of the following further predictions can logically be derived from them?
(A) If Hong Kong fails to stay prosperous, it will no longer remain part of mainland China.
(B) If Hong Kong retains its capitalist ways until 1997, it will be allowed to do so afterward.
(C) If there is a world economic crisis after 1997, it will not adversely affect the economy of Hong Kong.
(D) Hong Kong will be prosperous after 1997
(E) The citizens of Hong Kong will have no restrictions placed on them by the government of mainland China.
Following is what the argument says about HK:
If retains capitalist ways, then will remain prosperous
If prosperous, then useful to China
If useful to China, can retain Capitalist ways
Which of the following predictions can be derived?
(A) If Hong Kong fails to stay prosperous, it will no longer remain part of mainland China.
No, we don't know under which conditions will it not be a part of China.
(B) If Hong Kong retains its capitalist ways until 1997, it will be allowed to do so afterward.
Correct. If it stays capitalist till 1997, it will remain prosperous. If it remains prosperous, it will be useful to China. If it is useful, it will be allowed to retain capitalist ways. Hence, if it stays capitalist till 1997, it will be allowed to retain those ways afterwards too.
(C) If there is a world economic crisis after 1997, it will not adversely affect the economy of Hong Kong.
No data about this.
(D) Hong Kong will be prosperous after 1997
Cannot say. We don't know whether it will retain its capitalist ways till 1997. If it doesn't retain capitalist ways, it may not remain prosperous till 1997. Then what happens after 1997, we don't know. We cannot say that it will be prosperous after 1997.
(E) The citizens of Hong Kong will have no restrictions placed on them by the government of mainland China.
No data about this.
Answer (B)