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Of the countries that were the world s twenty largest

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Of the countries that were the world s twenty largest [#permalink] New post 28 Mar 2011, 01:22
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Of the countries that were the world’s twenty largest exporters in 1953, four had the same share of total world exports in 1984 as in 1953. Theses countries can therefore serve as models for those countries that wish to keep their share of the global export trade stable over the years.

Which of the following, if true, casts the most serious doubt on the suitability of those four countries as models in the sense described?

(A) Many countries wish to increase their share of world export trade, not just keep it stable.
(B) Many countries are less concerned with exports alone than with the balance between exports and imports.
(C) With respect to the mix of products each exports, the four countries are very different from each other.
(D) Of the four countries, two had a much larger, and two had a much smaller, share of total world exports in 1970 than in 1984.
(E) The exports of the four countries range from 15 percent to 75 percent of the total national output.
[Reveal] Spoiler: OA
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Re: CR question [#permalink] New post 28 Mar 2011, 08:08
+1 D

These countries don't keep stable their share.
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Re: CR question [#permalink] New post 28 Mar 2011, 10:28
could you please be more explicit ?
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Re: CR question [#permalink] New post 28 Mar 2011, 18:28
D means that 4 countries in question had no stable trade, hence cannot serve as the model

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Re: CR question [#permalink] New post 29 Mar 2011, 20:14
D..
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Re: CR question [#permalink] New post 29 Mar 2011, 20:21
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when you answer a CR question first thing you have to figure is: what is the conclusion and what are the pramises. here the con. is: they will keep exports the same since they kept it stable in the past. so you have to find an answer that would " cast doubt" on this con. so the fact that answer D) Of the four countries, two had a much larger, and two had a much smaller, share of total world exports in 1970 than in 1984. shows an instability in the past for these countries... by itself will cast doubt on the con.
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Re: CR question [#permalink] New post 29 Mar 2011, 20:26
by the way casting doubt, does not have to be very strong. in most of the tougher questions the right answer choice will create a very low level of doubt and the wrong answer choices are statements that sounds to show very high degree of doubt, but they do that for the premises or the subsidiary conclusion not the main conclusion of the argument... so watch out for these type of traps in the answer choices...

main thing would be to figure what is the main conclusion of the argument.... then you can easily solve the problem
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Re: CR question [#permalink] New post 15 Sep 2011, 22:17
I thought of A and D.. But D looks better. A doesn't weaken the argument...
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Re: CR question [#permalink] New post 16 Sep 2011, 06:31
For me is clear D........A is not at all a contender
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Re: CR question [#permalink] New post 16 Sep 2011, 09:18
@whichscore - Good Question. Kudos for you!

D for this one.
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Re: CR- Twenty largest exporters [#permalink] New post 16 Sep 2011, 14:26
D for me as well....All of the four countries didn't keep the same market share of their exports during 31 years
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Re: Of the countries that were the world s twenty largest [#permalink] New post 12 Apr 2012, 06:34
B,C,E are clearly irrelevant.
Between A and D, D is much better => D
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Re: Of the countries that were the world s twenty largest [#permalink] New post 15 Apr 2012, 10:54
my bet is on D because the conclusion of the argument is that, those 4 countries can be considered as model because they are stable.
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Re: Of the countries that were the world s twenty largest [#permalink] New post 05 May 2012, 22:26
my take option D..
As the four countries has differed in share in 1984 and therefor can't be served as a model.
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Re: Of the countries that were the world s twenty largest [#permalink] New post 29 May 2012, 03:15
whichscore wrote:
Of the countries that were the world’s twenty largest exporters in 1953, four had the same share of total world exports in 1984 as in 1953. Theses countries can therefore serve as models for those countries that wish to keep their share of the global export trade stable over the years.

Which of the following, if true, casts the most serious doubt on the suitability of those four countries as models in the sense described?

(A) Many countries wish to increase their share of world export trade, not just keep it stable.
(B) Many countries are less concerned with exports alone than with the balance between exports and imports.
(C) With respect to the mix of products each exports, the four countries are very different from each other.
(D) Of the four countries, two had a much larger, and two had a much smaller, share of total world exports in 1970 than in 1984.
(E) The exports of the four countries range from 15 percent to 75 percent of the total national output.



Four countries out of twenty have maintained their share at the same level in 1984 as they were at 1953. Now, for them to be models, they should satisfy some of the conditions:

1. Their exports should have also increased by the same amount, so as to maintain the share.
2. Other countries exports should have fallen.
3. Their share should have remain stable even between the years given. it should not be the case that there is very high volatility in exports between the years and stability at the end points.


They would not be treated as models, if their exports have not increased in order to maintain share, volatility has increased, or exports of other countries has shown secular increase overtime.


Out of the four choices given, D seems best answer because it shows volatility in mid years, which cast doubt over them being models.
Re: Of the countries that were the world s twenty largest   [#permalink] 29 May 2012, 03:15
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