ILoseUGain wrote:
@ j0yd1v1s10n, coolguy314159
If invitations are spread out, I don't think GSB needs to state the feb25th date. I don't expect them to be slackers like me just because they used the word "expect". They are a responsible adcom of a reputed university and they would have their plan pretty well cut. They might miss their expectation only if there are huge number of R2 applications in 2014 when compared to the number in 2013.
Sloan missed their own deadline multiple times, and I don't think you would suggest that MIT is not responsible or well-respected. You can't reasonably argue that they don't have flexibility and wiggle room in how their process goes.
Also, "slackers?" They were working on Saturday night sending invites around 8pm. Adcoms work on weird schedules and have a lot to do. If they were sending stuff out Saturday night at 8pm, your "well-cut" plan doesn't seem to hold up, does it?
ILoseUGain wrote:
For me, not receiving an invite by today means that my probability of getting called to interview fell from 50% to <5%. These numbers are not calculated, just vague numbers to say that my chances greatly decreased.
So you admit you are making those numbers up based on a feeling, and then claim that they are true. You have no idea what your chances of getting an invitation to interview. Approximately 13% of applicants have gotten invites based on GMAT Club historical data. Why do you think you are an outlier in that group and were at a 50% chance of getting an invite?
ILoseUGain wrote:
My probability for an interview will remain the same only if my application is still not read but when the expectation is to send majority of invites by today, it means that I have minority chances of my application to end up in the fewer applications still unread.
You are making assumptions left and right. How do you know if your application has not been read? They may have read it and plan to invite you for an interview and are working to match you with an alumnus in your area to conduct your interview, since that's how they do things. I know that my Sloan invite came out with a clear instruction about a day they were going to be in a hub city near me, and it was patently clear they sent out my invite in a batch with other people in my area. The GSB may be doing the exact same thing, but working hard to match you with an alumnus.
There is zero correlation with whether your app has been read, despite the fact that you say this as if it's a certainty.
ILoseUGain wrote:
In the first case if those terms just mean a little more than 50% of the invites sent out, there is no reason for the adcom to state this deadline in particular and not others. Remember they explicitly stated "expect to send majority of invitations" and "invitations are spread out".
This literally makes no sense. They say invites come out until March 4th. They say that OVER AND OVER again, FAR MORE OFTEN than they say anything about today's deadline. They also have said that there is no meaning to the timing of invites, and that one on March 3rd is the same as one on February 10th.
You obviously have your mind made up about what to believe, but you can't state things as fact that come from a) your anxiety/worry b) your "feelings" (as you stated above).