anupamisrich wrote:
I am not an expert to your question but just sharing my response here. I hope this is helpful and in case anyone can comment on my response, I'll be grateful.
A recent article concluded that the producers of movie 3003 will be most likely to maximize their profits if they are willing to pay Robin Good several million dollars to star in it beccause Robin has in the past been paid a similar amount to work in several films that were very financially successful. This argument, however, is flawed, most notably because it fails to take into account that the movies in which Robin Good worked had a very successful co-star or a director with a huge fan following, Robin has not done any movie in the past several years and has aged significantly since his last movie or Robin Good's earlier films had success in a different country where 3003 is not planned to be released. Therefore, over the course of following four paragraphs, this essay will discuss that the argument is weak and provide several suggestions to strengthen the conclusion.
Most notably, the article assumes that the films in which Robin worked were financially successful because of him. This may not be the case however, as it is likely that the movies in which he worked had a very successful co-star or a director with a huge fan following. Thus, the author must delve more into the team that worked in those films and show that those movies were indeed successful because of him.
Another assumption that the author makes is that Robin will be able to replicate his performance in 3003. This may not be the case, as it could be that Robin has not done any movie in the past several years and has aged significantly since his last movie. Therefore, in order to strengthen the conclusion, the author must demonstrate that Robin's successful movies were released in the recent past and he has a decent chance of replicating his performance.
Still a third assumption that is made by the author is that Robin Good's previous sucessful films were targetted at the same audience as 3003. This may not be the case as it is possible that Robin Good's earlier films had success in a different country where 3003 is not planned to be released. Therefore, to strengthen the argument, the author must clarify that intended audience for 3003 and other Robin Good movies is same.
As discussed above, the article concludes that the producers of movie 3003 will be most likely to maximize their profits if they are willing to pay Robin Good several million dollars to star in it. This conclusion may not be true however, because it is possible that the movies in which Robin Good worked had a very successful co-star or a director with a huge fan following, Robin has not done any movie in the past several years and has aged significantly since his last movie or Robin Good's earlier films had success in a different country where 3003 is not planned to be released. Therefore, in order to strengthen the conclusion, the author must delve more into the team that worked in those films and show that those movies were indeed successful because of him, demonstrate that Robin's successful movies were released in the recent past and he has a decent chance of replicating his performance and clarify that intended audience for 3003 and other Robin Good movies is same.
Can someone please evaluate my response?
The argument claims that the Producers of forthcoming movie 3003 will most likely maximise their profits if the producers are willing to pay several million dollars to Robin Good. Though the argument is compelling at face value, its conclusion is entirely untenable because the entire argument is fraught with oversimplified, vague and unwarranted claims.
To begin with, the argument is weakened because of ‘mistaken cause and effect’ logical fallacy. The attribution of several films’ financial success in the past to solely Robin Good’s work and involvement is unjustified. This attribution is a stretch because there can be several other key factors that cause the financial success of a particular film. For example, experienced director along with a strong script has historically proven to be a good leading indicator of film’s success. The given argument fails to mention effect of other factors in the making of film. The argument could be improved if sufficient evidence is provided to disprove the positive effect of any factor, excluding Robin’s involvement, on the film’s success.
Second, the argument unfairly assumes that past success will repeat in future. While this is a tempting assumption, its truth is by no means obvious. For instance, Robin could have been involved in several films that didn't become a commercial success irrespective of the fact that Robin was handsomely for doing those films. Moreover, the demand for movies or Robin’s work can be drastically different in future than what the demand was in past. To make a justifiable case for this argument, its important to showcase that demand for Robin’s work has not decreased and Robin is still a popular actor.
Third, there are several important questions that need to be answered. For example, are there any other ways because of which the movie 3003 can be a commercial success? Does Robin excel in the genre of movie 3003? Are there any other actors that are more suited for working in 3003 and are happy with lower salary? Without convincing answers to these questions, one is left with the impression that the claim is more of a wishful thinking rather than substantive evidence.
In conclusion, because the argument makes several unwarranted assumptions, it fails to make a convincing case that by paying Robin several million dollars, producers can expect the movie to be financial success.