Bunuel wrote:
Fossil-fuel producers say that it would be prohibitively expensive to reduce levels of carbon dioxide emitted by the use of fossil fuels enough to halt global warming. This claim is probably false. Several years ago, the chemical industry said that finding an economical alternative to the chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) destroying the ozone layer would be impossible. Yet once the industry was forced, by international agreements, to find substitutes for CFCs, it managed to phase them out completely well before the mandated deadline, in many cases at a profit.
Which one of the following, if true, most strengthens the argument?
(A) In the time since the chemical industry phased out CFCs, the destruction of the ozone layer by CFCs has virtually halted, but the levels of carbon dioxide emitted by the use of fossil fuels have continued to increase.
(B) In some countries, the amount of carbon dioxide emitted by the use of fossil fuels has already been reduced without prohibitive expense, but at some cost in convenience to the users of such fuels.
(C) The use of CFCs never contributed as greatly to the destruction of the ozone layer as the carbon dioxide emitted by the use of fossil fuels currently contributes to global warming.
(D) There are ways of reducing carbon dioxide emissions that could halt global warming without hurting profits of fossil-fuel producers significantly more than phasing out CFCs hurt those of the chemical industry.
(E) If international agreements forced fossil-fuel producers to find ways to reduce carbon dioxide emissions enough to halt global warming, the fossil-fuel producers could find substitutes for fossil fuels.
EXPLANATION FROM Fox LSAT
The conclusion here is, “This claim is probably false,” because it’s a prediction and the remainder of the argument sets out to prove this prediction. The evidence is this: “several years ago, they couldn’t solve the CFC problem either, but they were forced to, and they did it.” Therefore, the logic goes, their current claim that they can’t solve the CO2 problem is probably false.
Ideally, this argument will make you mad. Here’s my objection: Can’t they have been wrong last time, and still be right this time? What the eff does the CFC issue have to do with the CO2 issue anyway? Maybe the two are similar, but couldn’t they be completely different, according to the limited information we were given? We don’t have any idea, because the argument neglects to tell us. This is a huge weakness in the argument… this is where King Hippo’s pants fall down.(See
www.youtube.com/watch?v=dFIbzmYTIGc for a short video of Little Mac defeating King Hippo on the original Nintendo Entertainment System.)
To strengthen the argument, I would ideally like to plug this gap. So something like, “Anything that is true of the CFC issue is also true of the CO2 issue,” would fit in nicely. The correct answer might not be exactly that, but I’m predicting that it will be that, or something similar to that.
A) This isn’t what we’re looking for. Let’s not bother with it until we go through all five answer choices.
B) Same explanation as A.
C) Same explanation as A & B.
D) This isn’t perfect, but it’s the closest so far because it suggests that CO2 could be phased out without more pain than phasing out CFCs entailed.
E) “Substitutes for fossil fuels” isn’t the issue, and it’s mentioned nowhere in the argument. The issue is simply, “Can the producers reduce CO2 emissions?” regardless of what mechanism the producers use. You can’t pick E without bringing in your own outside knowledge, which you’re not allowed to do.
So the best answer is D. This question is a great example of knowing how to strengthen an argument by first
weakening the argument. You need to be on the attack. The correct answer is almost always related to some shortcoming that can be identified
before looking at the answer choices.