Bunuel
A new company can offer stocks in an initial public offering (IPO) before the company has proven itself capable of generating long-term profits for its stockholders. Historically, if a compasny has seemed likely to generate profits, the stock price in the IPO has risen; if the company seemed less likely to generate profits, the stock price in the IPO has fallen. Today business analysts announced that the Tenon Corporation has turned a profit in the financial quarter just completed. Therefore, stock prices for the Tenon Corporation’s IPO, which is planned for next week, will rise.
The author’s conclusion about Tenon Corporation is based on faulty reasoning because it
A. depends on the assumption that what has been true in the past will hold true in the future.
B. relies on a line of reasoning that is circular.
C. confuses cause with effect.
D. overlooks cases in which the counter-example is true.
E. rests on a faulty comparison.
PRINCETON REVIEW OFFICIAL EXPLANATION:
A
This is a reasoning question, so pay attention to how the author constructs his argument. He takes a historical trend and uses it to predict the outcome of a specific event. As you read through the answer choices, simply ask yourself, “Did he do that?”
(A) Yes. The author based his conclusion about Tenon on the assumption that what has been true in the past (in an IPO, a company that seemed likely to generate profits saw an increase in their stock price) will be true for Tenon.
(B) No. There is no circular reasoning here.
(C) No. There is no confusion of cause and effect—potential profits cause an increase in stock price.
(D) No. There are no counterexamples given, so this answer choice is out of scope.
(E) No. There is no comparison made in the argument, so this cannot be the credited response.