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Roland: The alarming fact is that 90 percent of the-OG10#139

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Roland: The alarming fact is that 90 percent of the-OG10#139 [#permalink]

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New post 09 Sep 2004, 14:36
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Roland: The alarming fact is that 90 percent of the people in this country now report that they know someone who is unemployed.

Sharon: But a normal, moderate level of unemployment is 5 percent, with 1 out of 20 workers unemployed. So at any given time if a person knows approximately 50 workers, 1 or more will very likely be unemployed.

Sharon's argument relies on the assumption that

(A) normal levels of unemployment are rarely exceeded
(B) unemployment is not normally concentrated in geographically isolated segments of the population
(C) the number of people who each know someone who is unemployed is always higher than 90% of the population
(D) Roland is not consciously distorting the statistics he presents
(E) knowledge that a personal acquaintance is unemployed generates more fear of losing one's job than does knowledge of unemployment statistics

Note: There is another question (conclusion question) which is based upon the same argument. For reading and further discussion on that question, please use the following link:
roland-the-alarming-fact-is-that-90-percent-of-the-og10-8416.html

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New post 13 Jun 2006, 14:26
^ B ^ is my choice.

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New post 13 Jun 2006, 16:33
:?: Still not sure what the core point is? Can someone elaborate?

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New post 13 Jun 2006, 16:37
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haas_mba07 wrote:
:?: Still not sure what the core point is? Can someone elaborate?


Roland is freakin out that 90% of the people in Xanadu know someone in that country who is unemployed.

Sharon is asking Roland to chill out because that stat presented by Roland means that normal, moderate level of unemployment is 5 percent, with 1 out of 20 workers unemployed. So, if a resident of Xanadu knows 20 people, 1 of them will most likely be unemployed.

Now this is only possible if the unemployed people are scattered evenly across the country.

Thats what I made out of it :)
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New post 13 Jun 2006, 17:28
Still cannot accept 'B'

'B' - unemployment is not normally concentrated in geographically isolated segments of the population ..
In other words they are spread across.
This, I believe, is a very generic statement and totally out of context. Morever the statement usesis not normally which will not fit into an assumption

Sharon is responding to Roland's statement and why would she talk some thing totally irrelevant to Roland's statement. [/b]

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New post 14 Jun 2006, 09:45
OA is B.

OE:

Sharon makes an equalizing statement about people and their acquaintance when she posits that, if an average person knows 50 workers, at least one of them is likely to be unemployed. Sharon's generalization must assume that this is the case eually throughout the country and that unemployment is not concentrated in some geographically isolated areas.

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Roland :The alarming fact is that 90 percent of the people [#permalink]

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New post 03 Jun 2007, 03:16
Roland :The alarming fact is that 90 percent of the people in this country now report that they know someone who is unemployed.

Sharon : But a normal, moderate level of unemployment is 5percent, with 1 out of 20 workers unemployed. So at any given time if a person knows approximately 50 workers, 1 or more will very likely be unemployed.

Sharons's argument relies on the assumtion that

A. normal levels of unemployment are rarely exceeded.

B. unemployment is not normally concentrated in geographically isolated segments of the population

C. the number of people who each know someone who is unemployed is always higer than 90% of the population.

D. Roland is not consciously distorting the statistics he presents.

E. knowledge that a personal acquaintance is unemployed generates fear of losing one's job than does knowledge of unemployement statistics.

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New post 03 Jun 2007, 13:55
seems B

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New post 03 Jun 2007, 16:17
Caas wrote:
seems B


You are correct. it is B

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New post 03 Jun 2007, 16:41
B.

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Roland: The alarming fact is that 90 percent of the people [#permalink]

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New post 08 Aug 2008, 11:40
Roland: The alarming fact is that 90 percent of the people in this country now report that they know someone who is unemployed.
Sharon: But a normal, moderate level of unemployment is 5 percent, with 1 out of 20 workers unemployed. So at any given time if a person knows approximately 50 workers, 1 or more will very likely be unemployed.

Sharon’s argument relies on the assumption that
(A) normal levels of unemployment are rarely exceeded
(B) unemployment is not normally concentrated in geographically isolated segments of the population
(C) the number of people who each know someone who is unemployed is always higher than 90% of the population
(D) Roland is not consciously distorting the statistics he presents
(E) knowledge that a personal acquaintance is unemployed generates more fear of losing one’s job than does knowledge of unemployment statistics
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Re: CR-fact [#permalink]

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New post 08 Aug 2008, 11:45
IMO B.

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Re: CR-fact [#permalink]

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New post 08 Aug 2008, 11:46
B

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Re: CR-fact [#permalink]

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New post 08 Aug 2008, 13:11
Can someone explain between A & B?

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New post 08 Aug 2008, 19:21
abhijit_sen wrote:
IMO B.

Kindly post the explanations
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New post 08 Aug 2008, 20:12
spriya wrote:
Roland: The alarming fact is that 90 percent of the people in this country now report that they know someone who is unemployed.
Sharon: But a normal, moderate level of unemployment is 5 percent, with 1 out of 20 workers unemployed. So at any given time if a person knows approximately 50 workers, 1 or more will very likely be unemployed.

Sharon’s argument relies on the assumption that
(A) normal levels of unemployment are rarely exceeded
(B) unemployment is not normally concentrated in geographically isolated segments of the population
(C) the number of people who each know someone who is unemployed is always higher than 90% of the population
(D) Roland is not consciously distorting the statistics he presents
(E) knowledge that a personal acquaintance is unemployed generates more fear of losing one’s job than does knowledge of unemployment statistics


IMO B)

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Roland: The alarming fact is that 90 percent of the people [#permalink]

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New post 15 Mar 2009, 04:07
Roland: The alarming fact is that 90 percent of the people in this country now report that they know someone who is unemployed.
Sharon: But a normal,moderate level of unemployment is 5 percent,with 1 out of 20 workers unemployed.So at any given time if a person knows approximately 50 workers,1 or more will very likely to be unemployed.

Sharon's argument relies on the assumption that
1. normal levels of unemployment are rarely exceeded.
2. unemployment is not normally concentrated in geographically isolated segments of population.
3. the number of people who each know someone who is unemployed is always higher than 90% of the population.
4. Roland is not consciously distorting the statistics he presents
5. knowledge that a personal acquaintance is unemployed generates more fear of loosing one's job than does knowledge of unemployment statistics

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Re: Unemployment statistics [#permalink]

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New post 15 Mar 2009, 05:27
A??
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Re: Unemployment statistics [#permalink]

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New post 15 Mar 2009, 06:36
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nitindas wrote:
Roland: The alarming fact is that 90 percent of the people in this country now report that they know someone who is unemployed.
Sharon: But a normal,moderate level of unemployment is 5 percent,with 1 out of 20 workers unemployed.So at any given time if a person knows approximately 50 workers,1 or more will very likely to be unemployed.

Sharon's argument relies on the assumption that
1. normal levels of unemployment are rarely exceeded.
2. unemployment is not normally concentrated in geographically isolated segments of population.
3. the number of people who each know someone who is unemployed is always higher than 90% of the population.
4. Roland is not consciously distorting the statistics he presents
5. knowledge that a personal acquaintance is unemployed generates more fear of loosing one's job than does knowledge of unemployment statistics


It should be B. Imagine you have the following situation:

a town of 50,000 has 100% unemployment, and no one in this town speaks to anyone else in the country
the other 950,000 people in the country, or 95% of the population, all have jobs

Then only 5% of your population would know anyone who was unemployed - the 5% in the isolated town full of unemployed people. Sharon's argument assumes that unemployment is spread fairly equally across the population.
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Re: Unemployment statistics [#permalink]

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Roland: The alarming fact is that 90 percent of the people in this country now report that they know someone who is unemployed.

Sharon: But a normal, moderate level of unemployment is 5 percent, with 1 out of 20 workers unemployed. So at any given time if a person knows approximately 50 workers, 1 or more will very likely to be unemployed.

Sharon's argument relies on the assumption that

Explanation:
------------------------
1.) normal levels of unemployment are rarely exceeded. ---> Irrelevant.

2.) unemployment is not normally concentrated in geographically isolated segments of population. ---> When Sharon puts her point, she’s actually trying to say that if you ask any person (anywhere), he/she must be knowing someone (5% of acquaintances) who’s unemployed. This is based on the assumption stated in this option.

Had that not been the case, the argument would have fallen apart. If unemployed people are concentrated in specific regions, then only the residents of that region will be aware of the unemployed people.

3.) the number of people who each know someone who is unemployed is always higher than 90% of the population.
---> She is nowhere trying to assume this.

4.) Roland is not consciously distorting the statistics he presents ---> This option states that Roland is actually distorting the fact (though not consciously) but we cannot conclude this from their conversation. In fact, Sharon is not disagreeing with Roland’s stats. Anyways, this is not the assumption she relies on.

5.) knowledge that a personal acquaintance is unemployed generates more fear of loosing one's job than does knowledge of unemployment statistics ---> Irrelevant.
------------------------

I too go for option 2.


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Re: Unemployment statistics [#permalink]

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New post 15 Mar 2009, 06:58
Agree with B.
my logic is same as Ian's.
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Re: Unemployment statistics   [#permalink] 15 Mar 2009, 06:58

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