2. The first sentence of the passage suggests that the highlighted “economists” would be most likely to predict which of the following?
A. Markets would continue to be prone to rapid change under circumstances of greater legal oversight despite a possibly greater range of investment.
B. Volatility would be mitigated under circumstances of greater regulatory oversight.
C. Financial crises could be contained if financial institutions posed less risk of leading to systemic failure.
D. Removing the Baht peg to the dollar would reduce incentives for foreign investors to invest in Thailand.
E. Markets would be stabilized by foreign investment applied through diversification of portfolios by increasing exposure to other markets.
Official Explanation:
The phrase the passage suggests in the question stem indicates that this is an inference question. The task of the question is indicated by the word suggests. The subject of the question is something that the highlighted economists would be most likely to predict. In order to answer the question, determine what the passage states about the subject and evaluate the answer choices, eliminating any choice that cannot be supported by the text. According to the passage, the economists believe that a large increase in foreign investment made the region vulnerable to volatility in currency markets. These economists connected the role of foreign investment with the financial crisis at large.
Choice A: Correct. This choice is supported by the passage. The passage states that the economists believed that a large increase in foreign investment made the region vulnerable to volatility in currency markets. Because these economists favored this explanation, they are likely to believe that greater regulatory oversight would not impact volatility. The passage does not indicate that these economists place any connection between regulatory oversight and volatility. This is a connection made by the study, mentioned later, that offers a viewpoint that contrasts with the views of these economists.
Choice B: No. This choice may seem tempting due to the recycled language volatility and regulatory. However, this answer choice is a reversal, as it represents the opposing viewpoints of the study mentioned later, not those of the economists. The passage does not mention that the economists place any connection between volatility and regulatory oversight. Instead, these economists believe that a large increase in foreign investment made the region vulnerable to volatility in currency markets.
Choice C: No. This choice may seem appealing because of the recycled language systemic failure and financial institutions. However, this choice is a reversal, as it represents the opposing viewpoints of the study mentioned later, not those of the economists. The passage does not support that the economists propose a connection between financial crises and systemic failure.
Choice D: No. This choice may seem tempting because of the memorable language Baht pegged to the dollar. However, this choice is a reversal, as it represents the opposing viewpoints of the study mentioned later, not those of the economists. The passage does not indicate that the economists believe there is any connection between the Baht peg to the dollar and incentives to invest in Thailand.
Choice E: No. This choice may seem appealing because of the recycled language diversification and foreign investment, as well as outside knowledge. Although it may generally be true that portfolio diversification may mitigate risk exposure, this connection is not made in the passage. The passage also does not mention the effects of diversifying portfolios on volatility, and it does not state that the economists hold this viewpoint.
The correct answer is choice A.