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Re: GMAT Quant - Traps to Avoid [#permalink]
This is great! Could you add more traps if you happened to notice!!

+Kudos! :)
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Re: GMAT Quant - Traps to Avoid [#permalink]
dineshyamato wrote:
Some generic Quant points


Wow, I wish found this post before my exam
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Re: GMAT Quant - Traps to Avoid [#permalink]
Nice post.
Thanks.
Kudos and a bump to the post.
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GMAT Quant - Traps to Avoid [#permalink]
dineshyamato wrote:

7. The lucky twin (thanks to, and suggested by GMATT73)
The purpose of this problem is to exploit a weakness used by PVue: complimentary answer choices. Almost always in complimentary probability questions, there are a pair of "LUCKY TWINS" among the answer choices. If in doubt and pressed for time, choose a TWIN by logical deduction.

Let`s take a crack at this Project GMAT bad boy without making lengthy calculations.

Set S consists of numbers 2, 3, 6, 48, and 164. Number K is computed by multiplying one random number from set S by one of the first 10 non-negative integers, also selected at random. If Z=6^K, what is the probability that 678,463 is not a multiple of Z?

a. 10%
b. 25%
c. 50%
d. 90%
e. 100%

*LUCKY TWINS





Can someone please explain this? What does the author mean by 'Lucky Twins in complimentary probability questions'??
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Re: GMAT Quant - Traps to Avoid [#permalink]
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rajsekhark wrote:
Can someone please explain this? What does the author mean by 'Lucky Twins in complimentary probability questions'??


There's a 'guessing strategy' I've seen recommended in some prep materials, sometimes called a "twins strategy", or, as I suppose it's called here, a "lucky twins" strategy. The theory is that if you're asked to find something like "the probability you pick a woman from a group of employees," and the answer is actually "1/3", that the test writers will include both "1/3" and "2/3" among the answer choices. That's allegedly done to "trap" test takers who solve for the probability of picking a man instead of a woman.

The problem with that "twins strategy" is it doesn't work. I tested the strategy empirically -- I took every question from one edition of the OG and QR books where the strategy might be used, and calculated how often you'd guess correctly using it. It turned out on that pool of questions you'd get a question right 19.75% of the time by guessing one of the "twins". That's slightly worse than the 20% you'd get right by guessing purely at random. The difference isn't statistically significant, but there's no evidence at all that this strategy is even slightly helpful; there are enough official questions where both "twins" are wrong that using this strategy does not improve your odds of answering questions correctly. So you can safely ignore anything about "twins".
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Re: GMAT Quant - Traps to Avoid [#permalink]
IanStewart wrote:
rajsekhark wrote:

There's a 'guessing strategy' I've seen recommended in some prep materials, sometimes called a "twins strategy", or, as I suppose it's called here, a "lucky twins" strategy. The theory is that if you're asked to find something like "the probability you pick a woman from a group of employees," and the answer is actually "1/3", that the test writers will include both "1/3" and "2/3" among the answer choices. That's allegedly done to "trap" test takers who solve for the probability of picking a man instead of a woman.


That was explained brilliantly well!
A special acknowledgement to you conducting the trials for all those questions...

Thank you so much!
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GMAT Quant - Traps to Avoid [#permalink]
Thanks dineshyamato, I was able to guess the below using Lone wolf.
https://gmatclub.com/forum/if-q-s-and-t ... 42956.html
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Re: GMAT Quant - Traps to Avoid [#permalink]
Hello from the GMAT Club BumpBot!

Thanks to another GMAT Club member, I have just discovered this valuable topic, yet it had no discussion for over a year. I am now bumping it up - doing my job. I think you may find it valuable (esp those replies with Kudos).

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Re: GMAT Quant - Traps to Avoid [#permalink]
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