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Sub 505 (Easy)|   Probability|            
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KarishmaB
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SwethaReddyL
hi KarishmaB
I understand your approach, i have a doubt. The probability of picking the stack card shouldn't be same in any draws? that's why i picked 1/8. Or is that approach applicable only in the replacement questions?
I have seen questions asking what is the probability of getting a head in 100th toss when 150 coins are tossed. The probability will always be 1/2, no matter what the draw is. Am i making sense?

Please respond.

Thanks in advance,
Swetha


No. The key difference is this: in the coin example, each toss is independent, so the 100th toss still has probability 1/2 for heads. Here, the cards are drawn without replacement, so the probabilities can change from draw to draw depending on what has already been removed.

In this question, we are told that the first 2 cards are not stock cards. That means 2 non-stock cards are gone, so 46 cards remain, and the number of stock cards is still 8. Therefore, the probability that the third card is a stock card is 8/46 = 4/23, not 1/8.
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... and 1/8 would be the answer if you were putting the card back in the pile and shuffling.

SwethaReddyL
hi KarishmaB
I understand your approach, i have a doubt. The probability of picking the stack card shouldn't be same in any draws? that's why i picked 1/8. Or is that approach applicable only in the replacement questions?
I have seen questions asking what is the probability of getting a head in 100th toss when 150 coins are tossed. The probability will always be 1/2, no matter what the draw is. Am i making sense?

Please respond.

Thanks in advance,
Swetha

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