Thank you for using the timer - this advanced tool can estimate your performance and suggest more practice questions. We have subscribed you to Daily Prep Questions via email.

Customized for You

we will pick new questions that match your level based on your Timer History

Track Your Progress

every week, we’ll send you an estimated GMAT score based on your performance

Practice Pays

we will pick new questions that match your level based on your Timer History

Not interested in getting valuable practice questions and articles delivered to your email? No problem, unsubscribe here.

It appears that you are browsing the GMAT Club forum unregistered!

Signing up is free, quick, and confidential.
Join other 500,000 members and get the full benefits of GMAT Club

Registration gives you:

Tests

Take 11 tests and quizzes from GMAT Club and leading GMAT prep companies such as Manhattan GMAT,
Knewton, and others. All are free for GMAT Club members.

Applicant Stats

View detailed applicant stats such as GPA, GMAT score, work experience, location, application
status, and more

Books/Downloads

Download thousands of study notes,
question collections, GMAT Club’s
Grammar and Math books.
All are free!

Thank you for using the timer!
We noticed you are actually not timing your practice. Click the START button first next time you use the timer.
There are many benefits to timing your practice, including:

In a certain baord game, a stack of 48 cards, 8 of which [#permalink]

Show Tags

24 Jul 2012, 05:19

2

This post received KUDOS

9

This post was BOOKMARKED

00:00

A

B

C

D

E

Difficulty:

5% (low)

Question Stats:

79% (00:36) correct 21% (00:41) wrong based on 473 sessions

HideShow timer Statistics

In a certain baord game, a stack of 48 cards, 8 of which represent shares of stock, are shuffled and then placed face down. If the first 2 cards selected do not represent shares of stock, what is the probability that the third card selected will represent a share of stock?

In a certain baord game, a stack of 48 cards, 8 of which represent shares of stock, are shuffled and then placed face down. If the first 2 cards selected do not represent shares of stock, what is the probability that the third card selected will represent a share of stock?

a)1/8 b)1/6 c)1/5 d)3/23 e)4/23

Can we directly substract 2 cards out of 48 and reach the probablity of getting 8/46?

Can we directly substract 2 cards out of 48 and reach the probablity of getting 8/46?

Yes you can. You already know that the first 2 cards are not stock cards. It's like we placed them face up. They anyway are out of the picture. Now we have 46 cards and 8 of them are stock cards. So the probability that the card we pick is a stock card is 8/46 = 4/23.

The probability of picking a stock card keeps increasing as we keep pulling out the non stock cards. Think: You have 5 cards and 1 of them is the Queen. What is the probability that you will pull out a queen? It's 1/5. What happens after you pull out a non queen? The probability of pulling out a queen now becomes 1/4. It keeps increasing till you reach the last card. If you still haven't pulled out a queen, the last one must be the queen and the probability becomes 1.

Another thing to think about: What happens if you don't know what the first two cards are i.e. what is the probability of picking a share card on the third pick (you don't know what the first two picks are).
_________________

Another thing to think about: What happens if you don't know what the first two cards are i.e. what is the probability of picking a share card on the third pick (you don't know what the first two picks are).

Hello Karishma - I guess we can list them out?

Pick Share : Pick share : pick share =6/46 Pick share : No pick Share : pick share = 7/46 No pick Share : pick : pick = 7/46 No : No : pick = 8/46

Another thing to think about: What happens if you don't know what the first two cards are i.e. what is the probability of picking a share card on the third pick (you don't know what the first two picks are).

Hello Karishma - I guess we can list them out?

Pick Share : Pick share : pick share =6/46 Pick share : No pick Share : pick share = 7/46 No pick Share : pick : pick = 7/46 No : No : pick = 8/46

When you list it out, you will obviously get the same answer.

Share, Share, Share = (8/48) * (7/47) * (6/46) Share, No Share, Share = (8/48) * (40/47) * (7/46) No Share, Share, Share = (40/48) * (8/47) * (7/46) No Share, No Share, Share = (40/48) * (39/47) * (8/46) When you add all these up, you get 8/48.
_________________

Re: In a certain baord game, a stack of 48 cards, 8 of which [#permalink]

Show Tags

04 Nov 2012, 11:24

1

This post was BOOKMARKED

sanjoo wrote:

Will we not change 8 to 6??

because if we have taken out those 2 cards..then ramining will be 6 6/46?

Read the question carefully. These 2 cards dont represent the stocks. Hence the 8 cards that represented stocks are still there, i.e. those 8 cards are still intact. But total number of cards has reduced from 48 to 46. Hence, probability can be found easily. Hope that helps -s
_________________

Can we directly substract 2 cards out of 48 and reach the probablity of getting 8/46?

Yes you can. You already know that the first 2 cards are not stock cards. It's like we placed them face up. They anyway are out of the picture. Now we have 46 cards and 8 of them are stock cards. So the probability that the card we pick is a stock card is 8/46 = 4/23.

The probability of picking a stock card keeps increasing as we keep pulling out the non stock cards. Think: You have 5 cards and 1 of them is the Queen. What is the probability that you will pull out a queen? It's 1/5. What happens after you pull out a non queen? The probability of pulling out a queen now becomes 1/4. It keeps increasing till you reach the last card. If you still haven't pulled out a queen, the last one must be the queen and the probability becomes 1.

Another thing to think about: What happens if you don't know what the first two cards are i.e. what is the probability of picking a share card on the third pick (you don't know what the first two picks are).

i have a big trouble ..i think it should be done in this way. we select 2 from the 40 , in the first beginning. then select 1 from the 8 , in total we have 3 from 48. so what I got was C1 8C2 40/C3 48

Re: In a certain baord game, a stack of 48 cards, 8 of which [#permalink]

Show Tags

17 Aug 2013, 11:08

1

This post was BOOKMARKED

rajman41 wrote:

In a certain baord game, a stack of 48 cards, 8 of which represent shares of stock, are shuffled and then placed face down. If the first 2 cards selected do not represent shares of stock, what is the probability that the third card selected will represent a share of stock?

A. 1/8 B. 1/6 C. 1/5 D. 3/23 E. 4/23

40/48 * 39/47 so next is = 8/46 = 4/23
_________________

Re: In a certain baord game, a stack of 48 cards, 8 of which [#permalink]

Show Tags

19 Aug 2013, 03:43

Asifpirlo wrote:

rajman41 wrote:

In a certain baord game, a stack of 48 cards, 8 of which represent shares of stock, are shuffled and then placed face down. If the first 2 cards selected do not represent shares of stock, what is the probability that the third card selected will represent a share of stock?

A. 1/8 B. 1/6 C. 1/5 D. 3/23 E. 4/23

40/48 * 39/47 so next is = 8/46 = 4/23

well done! I got it, meanwhile, I found my problem. what I did do not follow the first 2 cards and the third. what i did means just select cards randomly , two are PPPPPP, one is PPPPP... thank you very much

In a certain board game, a stack of 48 cards, 8 of which represent shares of stack, are shuffled and placed face down. If the first 2 cards selected do not represent the shares of stock, what is the probability that the third card selected will represent a share of stock ?

A. 1/8 B. 1/6 C. 1/5 D. 3/23 E. 4/23

Hi, there are 48 cards , out of which 8 are shares of stack.. the first two are not share of stack.. so the remaining cards now are 48-2=46, again out of which there are 8 shares of stock.. the prob that next is one of these 8 is 8/46=4/23 E
_________________

Re: In a certain baord game, a stack of 48 cards, 8 of which [#permalink]

Show Tags

29 Dec 2015, 09:48

VeritasPrepKarishma wrote:

rajman41 wrote:

Can we directly substract 2 cards out of 48 and reach the probablity of getting 8/46?

Yes you can. You already know that the first 2 cards are not stock cards. It's like we placed them face up. They anyway are out of the picture. Now we have 46 cards and 8 of them are stock cards. So the probability that the card we pick is a stock card is 8/46 = 4/23.

So when do you use combinatorics? I thought the solution would work out as:

Probability of third card being a stock card = 40/48* 39/47*8/46

Can we directly substract 2 cards out of 48 and reach the probablity of getting 8/46?

Yes you can. You already know that the first 2 cards are not stock cards. It's like we placed them face up. They anyway are out of the picture. Now we have 46 cards and 8 of them are stock cards. So the probability that the card we pick is a stock card is 8/46 = 4/23.

So when do you use combinatorics? I thought the solution would work out as:

Probability of third card being a stock card = 40/48* 39/47*8/46

When to use combinatorics???

Hi, the first two not being a stock card is no more a probability but a fact.. there is some action carried out and you have to work further to it.. out of 48 cards, you have already picked up two cards.. so the present case is that you are left with 46 cards and the prob will depend on these cards now..
_________________

Re: In a certain baord game, a stack of 48 cards, 8 of which [#permalink]

Show Tags

24 Apr 2016, 02:00

VeritasPrepKarishma wrote:

Another thing to think about: What happens if you don't know what the first two cards are i.e. what is the probability of picking a share card on the third pick (you don't know what the first two picks are).

Hi Karishma, can you please give the answer to the above query?

I have 2 other questions.

First question: I solved this question using conditional probability. Is my solution correct? Probability (at least 2 non-share cards) = Probability (2 non-share AND 1 share cards) + Probability (3 non-share cards) \(= \frac{40*39*8}{48*47*46} + \frac{40*39*38}{48*47*46}\) \(=\frac{40*39*46}{48*47*46}\) Desired probability = Probability(2 non-share AND 1 share cards)/Probability(at least 2 non-share cards) \(=\frac{40*39*8}{40*47*46}\) \(=\frac{8}{46}=\frac{4}{23}\)

Second question: I cannot tell the difference between the problem under discussion and this problem: A box contains 3 yellow balls and 5 black balls. One by one, every ball is selected at random without replacement. What is the probability that the fourth ball selected is black?

In the latter problem, Bunuel and other experts confirmed that the probability of getting a certain ball (black ball) will not change for any successive drawing. This means the probability of getting a black ball remains 5/8 no matter what.

I thought the same line of thinking would apply here. On the third drawing, the probability of getting a share remains 8/48. I know it is dead wrong, but I cannot understand the difference between the two questions. Could you please clarify?

Re: In a certain baord game, a stack of 48 cards, 8 of which [#permalink]

Show Tags

24 Apr 2016, 02:15

chetan2u wrote:

Hi, the first two not being a stock card is no more a probability but a fact.. there is some action carried out and you have to work further to it.. out of 48 cards, you have already picked up two cards.. so the present case is that you are left with 46 cards and the prob will depend on these cards now..

Hi Chetan2u,

A silly question: How can we differentiate between a fact and a probability?

I am very confused maybe because I am not familiar with the wording. I thought the first two cards constitute a probability. Could you please give some wording examples for both 'a fact' and 'a probability' types of question? Could you please help me understand the difference between the two?

Hi, the first two not being a stock card is no more a probability but a fact.. there is some action carried out and you have to work further to it.. out of 48 cards, you have already picked up two cards.. so the present case is that you are left with 46 cards and the prob will depend on these cards now..

Hi Chetan2u,

A silly question: How can we differentiate between a fact and a probability?

I am very confused maybe because I am not familiar with the wording. I thought the first two cards constitute a probability. Could you please give some wording examples for both 'a fact' and 'a probability' types of question? Could you please help me understand the difference between the two?

Always appreciate your help!

Hi, you have given a Q above wherein there are 3 blacks and 5 white, and we are to find the probability that 4th is black.. here you are not aware what has happened in the first three DRAWS, so picking of all 8 will remain PROBABILITY..

But what happens when you have picked two cards and you are told they do not contain the card we are lookin for.. you had 48 cards out of which 8 are say TYPE X, and you have to find the probability that third is TYPE X.. Our probability will continue to be out of all 48..

If you are told first two are not type X... so now you have ONLY 46 cards left, Because in the TWO picked, there is no probability involved since we know what those cards are.. Probability is ONLY there where we do not know the out come..

another extension of above Q.. you have picked 40 cards and none of them are type X.. what is the probability that 41st card will be X.. we now do not care of what we already know. they have moved from Probability to REALITY.. now we know 48-40=8 cards are left and none of type X has been picked.. so now all these 8 will be type X.. prob = 8/8 = 1.. that is it will be type X for sure..
_________________

In a certain baord game, a stack of 48 cards, 8 of which [#permalink]

Show Tags

24 Apr 2016, 04:44

chetan2u wrote:

Hi, you have given a Q above wherein there are 3 blacks and 5 white, and we are to find the probability that 4th is black.. here you are not aware what has happened in the first three DRAWS, so picking of all 8 will remain PROBABILITY..

Hi, Thank you! I think I understand this one.

Quote:

But what happens when you have picked two cards and you are told they do not contain the card we are lookin for.. you had 48 cards out of which 8 are say TYPE X, and you have to find the probability that third is TYPE X.. Our probability will continue to be out of all 48..

I am a bit confused here. If I am told that the two cards do not contain the card I'm looking for, then how come the probability continues from 48? Doen't it start from the remaining 46 cards?

Quote:

If you are told first two are not type X... so now you have ONLY 46 cards left, Because in the TWO picked, there is no probability involved since we know what those cards are.. Probability is ONLY there where we do not know the out come..

Doesn't this contradict with your above statement? You said we start from 48 after the first two cards. But here you point out that we calculate on the remaining 46 cards. Is it a typo or something? Please clarify.

But what happens when you have picked two cards andyou are told they do not contain the card we are lookin for.. you had 48 cards out of which 8 are say TYPE X, and you have to find the probability that third is TYPE X.. Our probability will continue to be out of all 48..

I am a bit confused here. If I am told that the two cards do not contain the card I'm looking for, then how come the probability continues from 48? Doen't it start from the remaining 46 cards?

Thank you very much!

pl read the highlighted portion as -- and you are not aware what those two cards contain.. It was a typo..

Quote:

But what happens when you have picked two cards andand you are not aware what those two cards contain.. you had 48 cards out of which 8 are say TYPE X, and you have to find the probability that third is TYPE X.. Our probability will continue to be out of all 48..

In a certain baord game, a stack of 48 cards, 8 of which [#permalink]

Show Tags

24 Apr 2016, 04:59

chetan2u wrote:

But what happens when you have picked two cards andand you are not aware what those two cards contain.. you had 48 cards out of which 8 are say TYPE X, and you have to find the probability that third is TYPE X.. Our probability will continue to be out of all 48..

So, in this case, the probability that the third card is of type X will equal \(\frac{8}{48}\). Is that right?