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Mary and Joe are to throw three dice each. The score is the [#permalink]
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Mary and Joe are to throw three dice each. The score is the sum of points on all three dice. If Mary scores 10 in her attempt what is the probability that Joe will outscore Mary in his? A. 24/64 B. 32/64 C. 36/64 D. 40/64 E. 42/64
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noboru wrote: Mary and Joe are to throw three dice each. The score is the sum of points on all three dice. If Mary scores 10 in her attempt what is the probability that Joe will outscore Mary in his? Expected value of one die is 1/6*(1+2+3+4+5+6)=3.5. Expected value of three dice is 3*3.5=10.5. Mary scored 10 so the probability to get the sum more then 10 (11, 12, 13, ..., 18), or more then the average, is the same as to get the sum less than average (10, 9, 8, ..., 3) = 1/2. P=1/2.
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Re: Mary and Joe are to throw three dice each. The score is the [#permalink]
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24 Sep 2010, 11:17
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would you love to see how attacked it? if Joe is expected to outscore his friend, he should get these sums, 11,12,13...18 all possibilities are from 3 to 18 so : prob =8/16 equal to 1/2 PS. If you are wondering how I came to 3 as min because 1+1+1 and likewise 18 is max (6+6+6)



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imania wrote: would you love to see how attacked it? if Joe is expected to outscore his friend, he should get these sums, 11,12,13...18 all possibilities are from 3 to 18 so : prob =8/16 equal to 1/2 PS. If you are wondering how I came to 3 as min because 1+1+1 and likewise 18 is max (6+6+6) Unfortunately this approach is not right though for this particular case it gave a correct answer. Consider this: if it were that Mary scored not 10 but 17 then Joe to outscore Mary should get only 18 and according to your approach as there are total of 16 scores possible then the probability of Joe getting 18 would be 1/16. But this is not correct, probability of 18 is (1/6)^3=1/216 not 1/16. This is because not all scores from 3 to 18 have equal # of ways to occur: you can get 10 in many ways but 3 or 18 only in one way (3=1+1+1 and 18=6+6+6). Hope it's clear.
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Re: Mary and Joe are to throw three dice each. The score is the [#permalink]
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25 Sep 2010, 04:37
Bunuel wrote: imania wrote: would you love to see how attacked it? if Joe is expected to outscore his friend, he should get these sums, 11,12,13...18 all possibilities are from 3 to 18 so : prob =8/16 equal to 1/2 PS. If you are wondering how I came to 3 as min because 1+1+1 and likewise 18 is max (6+6+6) Unfortunately this approach is not right though for this particular case it gave a correct answer. Consider this: if it were that Mary scored not 10 but 17 then Joe to outscore Mary should get only 18 and according to your approach as there are total of 16 scores possible then the probability of Joe getting 18 would be 1/16. But this is not correct, probability of 18 is (1/6)^3=1/216 not 1/16. This is because not all scores from 3 to 18 have equal # of ways to occur: you can get 10 in many ways but 3 or 18 only in one way (3=1+1+1 and 18=6+6+6). Hope it's clear. Fantastic explanation!
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Re: Mary and Joe are to throw three dice each. The score is the [#permalink]
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27 Sep 2010, 03:01
Is there any alternate approach to solve this problme?



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Re: Mary and Joe are to throw three dice each. The score is the [#permalink]
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27 Sep 2010, 14:55
Yes, but alternative approaches revolve around the same idea. I can tell you how to reduce this problem to that of a multinomial expansion if you want, but the technique is beyond the scope of GMAT. The answer presented here is the simplest possible
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Re: Mary and Joe are to throw three dice each. The score is the [#permalink]
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05 Oct 2010, 22:05
How did you get the possible scores i.e 16 and so the probablity is 1/16 Bunuel wrote: imania wrote: Unfortunately this approach is not right though for this particular case it gave a correct answer.
Consider this: if it were that Mary scored not 10 but 17 then Joe to outscore Mary should get only 18 and according to your approach as there are total of 16 scores possible then the probability of Joe getting 18 would be 1/16. But this is not correct, probability of 18 is (1/6)^3=1/216 not 1/16.
This is because not all scores from 3 to 18 have equal # of ways to occur: you can get 10 in many ways but 3 or 18 only in one way (3=1+1+1 and 18=6+6+6).
Hope it's clear.



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Re: Mary and Joe are to throw three dice each. The score is the [#permalink]
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05 Oct 2010, 23:26
sanober1985 wrote: How did you get the possible scores i.e 16 and so the probablity is 1/16 Bunuel wrote: imania wrote: Unfortunately this approach is not right though for this particular case it gave a correct answer.
Consider this: if it were that Mary scored not 10 but 17 then Joe to outscore Mary should get only 18 and according to your approach as there are total of 16 scores possible then the probability of Joe getting 18 would be 1/16. But this is not correct, probability of 18 is (1/6)^3=1/216 not 1/16.
This is because not all scores from 3 to 18 have equal # of ways to occur: you can get 10 in many ways but 3 or 18 only in one way (3=1+1+1 and 18=6+6+6).
Hope it's clear. The possible scores are {3,4,5,...,18} which is 16 distinct numbers But probability is NOT 1/16. The outcomes are not equally likely
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Re: Mary and Joe are to throw three dice each. The score is the [#permalink]
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06 Oct 2010, 02:05
Bunuel wrote: noboru wrote: Mary and Joe are to throw three dice each. The score is the sum of points on all three dice. If Mary scores 10 in her attempt what is the probability that Joe will outscore Mary in his? Expected value of one die is 1/6*(1+2+3+4+5+6)=3.5. Expected value of three dice is 3*3.5=10.5. Mary scored 10 so the probability to get the sum more then 10 (11, 12, 13, ..., 18), or more then the average, is the same as to get the sum less than average (10, 9, 8, ..., 3) = 1/2. P=1/2. Amazing explanation, but is this a GMAT type question, if yes then I doubt I will ever be able to solve such questions in Real GMAT Time and space. It is too far fetched for me to even think I can crack such a question in normal finite time, forget GMAT Time !!!
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Re: Mary and Joe are to throw three dice each. The score is the [#permalink]
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06 Oct 2010, 02:46
sanober1985 wrote: How did you get the possible scores i.e 16 and so the probablity is 1/16 Bunuel wrote: imania wrote: Unfortunately this approach is not right though for this particular case it gave a correct answer.
Consider this: if it were that Mary scored not 10 but 17 then Joe to outscore Mary should get only 18 and according to your approach as there are total of 16 scores possible then the probability of Joe getting 18 would be 1/16. But this is not correct, probability of 18 is (1/6)^3=1/216 not 1/16.
This is because not all scores from 3 to 18 have equal # of ways to occur: you can get 10 in many ways but 3 or 18 only in one way (3=1+1+1 and 18=6+6+6).
Hope it's clear. When you roll 3 dice you can have the following sums: 3 (min possible 1+1+1), 4, 5, 6, ...., 18 (max possible 6+6+6), so total of 16 possible sums. But as you can see in my previous post (the one you quote) the probability of these score are not equal, so it's not 1/16 for each. devashish wrote: Bunuel wrote: noboru wrote: Mary and Joe are to throw three dice each. The score is the sum of points on all three dice. If Mary scores 10 in her attempt what is the probability that Joe will outscore Mary in his? Expected value of one die is 1/6*(1+2+3+4+5+6)=3.5. Expected value of three dice is 3*3.5=10.5. Mary scored 10 so the probability to get the sum more then 10 (11, 12, 13, ..., 18), or more then the average, is the same as to get the sum less than average (10, 9, 8, ..., 3) = 1/2. P=1/2. Amazing explanation, but is this a GMAT type question, if yes then I doubt I will ever be able to solve such questions in Real GMAT Time and space. It is too far fetched for me to even think I can crack such a question in normal finite time, forget GMAT Time !!! Don't worry, you won't see such kind of question on GMAT.
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Re: Mary and Joe are to throw three dice each. The score is the [#permalink]
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31 Jan 2011, 16:23
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How were you able to come up with (1+2+3+4+5+6)? I understand that one outcome out of six occurs when Joe rolls the dice but the other part... a bit puzzling???
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Re: Mary and Joe are to throw three dice each. The score is the [#permalink]
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Re: Mary and Joe are to throw three dice each. The score is the [#permalink]
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29 May 2012, 06:42
Bunuel, was just solving this sum, what do you mean by expected value of the sum? This is a new approach for me. Would be very nice if you could explain.
I solved it using combination. to get more than 10 you need 3,3,5 and above on the dice. for ist dice you can have 3 nos more than 3, likewise for second. For third the nos are 5 &6 ie. 2 nos. so 3*3*2 = 18 no. of sums that will deliver 10+ also there are various arrangements of these 3 nos is 18*3! = 108.
Total no of sums possible = 6*6*6 = 216
Probability = 108/216 = 1/2
Am i right in this approach?



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Re: Mary and Joe are to throw three dice each. The score is the [#permalink]
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03 Jul 2012, 02:18
vibhav wrote: Bunuel, was just solving this sum, what do you mean by expected value of the sum? This is a new approach for me. Would be very nice if you could explain.
I solved it using combination. to get more than 10 you need 3,3,5 and above on the dice. for ist dice you can have 3 nos more than 3, likewise for second. For third the nos are 5 &6 ie. 2 nos. so 3*3*2 = 18 no. of sums that will deliver 10+ also there are various arrangements of these 3 nos is 18*3! = 108.
Total no of sums possible = 6*6*6 = 216
Probability = 108/216 = 1/2
Am i right in this approach? This approach may not work. Assume that on first die joe got 1, second die 6 and thrid die 6, then sum is 13. hence assuming that you need 3 on first and sencond die is wrong. at least 1 die should have 4 or more to get the sum above 10. No restriction on minimum on one die. Bunnel's approach is right. possible outcome above 10 are 8 and possible out come below 10 are also 8. hence probability = 8/16 = 1/2
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Re: Mary and Joe are to throw three dice each. The score is the [#permalink]
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03 Jul 2012, 23:05
Bunuel wrote: noboru wrote: Mary and Joe are to throw three dice each. The score is the sum of points on all three dice. If Mary scores 10 in her attempt what is the probability that Joe will outscore Mary in his? Expected value of one die is 1/6*(1+2+3+4+5+6)=3.5. Expected value of three dice is 3*3.5=10.5. Mary scored 10 so the probability to get the sum more then 10 (11, 12, 13, ..., 18), or more then the average, is the same as to get the sum less than average (10, 9, 8, ..., 3) = 1/2. P=1/2. Can someone please explain what mistake i'm doing: Total No. Of Possible Outcomes = 216 Outcomes where Joe scores 10 or less: 111 > 1 222 > 1 333 > 1 112 > 3, 113 > 3, 114 > 3, 115 > 3, 116 > 3, 221 > 3, 223 > 3, 224 > 3, 225 > 3, 226 > 3, 331 > 3, 332 > 3, 334 > 3, 441 > 3, 442 > 3, Adding everything up = 48 Outcomes where Joe scores more than 10 = 216  48 = 168 Probability = 168/216 = 7/9
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Re: Mary and Joe are to throw three dice each. The score is the [#permalink]
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04 Jul 2012, 00:11
MacFauz wrote: Bunuel wrote: noboru wrote: Mary and Joe are to throw three dice each. The score is the sum of points on all three dice. If Mary scores 10 in her attempt what is the probability that Joe will outscore Mary in his? Expected value of one die is 1/6*(1+2+3+4+5+6)=3.5. Expected value of three dice is 3*3.5=10.5. Mary scored 10 so the probability to get the sum more then 10 (11, 12, 13, ..., 18), or more then the average, is the same as to get the sum less than average (10, 9, 8, ..., 3) = 1/2. P=1/2. Can someone please explain what mistake i'm doing: Total No. Of Possible Outcomes = 216 Outcomes where Joe scores 10 or less: 111 > 1 222 > 1 333 > 1 112 > 3, 113 > 3, 114 > 3, 115 > 3, 116 > 3, 221 > 3, 223 > 3, 224 > 3, 225 > 3, 226 > 3, 331 > 3, 332 > 3, 334 > 3, 441 > 3, 442 > 3, Adding everything up = 48 Outcomes where Joe scores more than 10 = 216  48 = 168 Probability = 168/216 = 7/9 You are missing some cases: 123  6 ways; 124  6 ways; 125  6 ways; 126  6 ways; 134  6 ways; 135  6 ways; 136  6 ways; 145  6 ways; 234  6 ways; 235  6 ways. So, total of 60 scenarios were missing. Together with the 48 cases you counted we would have 48+60=108 ways to get the sum of 10 or less, so the probability is 1108/216=1/2. Hope it helps.
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Re: Mary and Joe are to throw three dice each. The score is the [#permalink]
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01 Oct 2012, 02:52
Bunuel wrote: noboru wrote: Mary and Joe are to throw three dice each. The score is the sum of points on all three dice. If Mary scores 10 in her attempt what is the probability that Joe will outscore Mary in his? Expected value of one die is 1/6*(1+2+3+4+5+6)=3.5. Expected value of three dice is 3*3.5=10.5. Mary scored 10 so the probability to get the sum more then 10 (11, 12, 13, ..., 18), or more then the average, is the same as to get the sum less than average (10, 9, 8, ..., 3) = 1/2. P=1/2. Hi Bunel, I used below appraoch to get to thr solution. Let me know if this is correct. This problem can be drilled down to find all possible ways to get sum 11 and above. Dice 1 : 6 , Dice2 : 4 and Dice3 : {1,2,3,4,5,6} This gives total 6 combinations(1 x 1 x 6). Now these values can be interchanged on other dices so = 6 x 3 x 2 x 1. So Combination 1 = 36 ways Step2 : Similarly lets try to get values 6,5 and {1,2,3,4,5,6} Therefore Combination 2 = 36 ways Step3 : Similarly lets try to get values 6,6 and {1,2,3,4,5,6} Therefore Combination 3 = 36 ways Therefore in all we have 36 + 36 + 36 = 108 ways. and total number of ways = 216 Therefore probablity = 108/216.



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Re: Mary and Joe are to throw three dice each. The score is the [#permalink]
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05 Nov 2012, 18:53
navo wrote: Bunuel wrote: noboru wrote: Mary and Joe are to throw three dice each. The score is the sum of points on all three dice. If Mary scores 10 in her attempt what is the probability that Joe will outscore Mary in his? Mary scored 10 so the probability to get the sum more then 10 (11, 12, 13, ..., 18), or more then the average, is the same as to get the sum less than average (10, 9, 8, ..., 3) = 1/2. P=1/2. Hi Bunel, I used below appraoch to get to thr solution. Let me know if this is correct. This problem can be drilled down to find all possible ways to get sum 11 and above. Dice 1 : 6 , Dice2 : 4 and Dice3 : {1,2,3,4,5,6} This gives total 6 combinations(1 x 1 x 6). Now these values can be interchanged on other dices so = 6 x 3 x 2 x 1. So Combination 1 = 36 ways Step2 : Similarly lets try to get values 6,5 and {1,2,3,4,5,6} Therefore Combination 2 = 36 ways Step3 : Similarly lets try to get values 6,6 and {1,2,3,4,5,6} Therefore Combination 3 = 36 ways Therefore in all we have 36 + 36 + 36 = 108 ways. and total number of ways = 216 Therefore probablity = 108/216. It is not clear what you mean by "Now these values can be interchanged on other dices so = 6 x 3 x 2 x 1." What about combinations {5,5,5}, {4,4,4} for example? I don't see they are counted in your approach. I also tried to solve the task by counting combinations which would give 10 points or less with the plan to substract this number from total number of combinations. Then I realized that this value would be the same as if I would count number of combinations resulting in 11 points and higher. Actually we dont even need to find average expected value. There are 16 possible scores: 3,4,5,...16,17,18. Work from opposite sides of this set. Possibility to get 3 points is the same as for 18, possibility of 4 is the same as of 17, and so on. The last pair in the middle is 10 and 11. So possibility of score from 3 to 10 = possibility 11 to 18. The question is about getting score more than 11, i.e. second half of the set = exactly half of choices.



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Re: Mary and Joe are to throw three dice each. The score is the [#permalink]
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05 Jan 2013, 05:56
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Joe should score 11,12... 17,18 to score over mary. Now lets consider 1 by 1: 18: 6,6,6 combination > 1 arrangement 18 > 1 possibility 17: 6,6,5 combination > 3 arrangement 17 > 3 possibilities 16: 6,6,4 combination > 3 arrangement 6,5,5 combination > 3 arrangement 16 > 6 possibilities 15: 6,6,3 combination > 1 arrangement 6,5,4 combination > 6 arrangement 5,5,4 combination > 3 arrangement 15 > 10 possibilities similarly for 14,13,12,and 11 we have 15,21,25,27 possibilities respectively. Total favorable: 1+3+6+10+15+21+25+27 = 108 possibilities Probability = 108/(6*6*6) = 1/2 or 32/64 Two important points... the solution is not the shortest but shows systematic listing method useful for other questions. Secondly, It appeared as though a series was forming.. which is not the case!!! Kudos for the Solution plz....
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