Re: Calling All Stanford Fall 2010 applicants!
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20 Oct 2009, 10:26
An interesting math application on interview invite % for R1:
On the low extreme, if we assume that the current trends for application increases have continued (4800 - 5700 - 6600 - 7500) and add 1000 applicants to the pool, we have ~ 8500 applicants for this year. Last year, adcom sent out between 550-600 invites during R1 (see MBA Admissions blog, Dec 19 2008). Assume the lower number for this year, because of increased yields. Assume that a massive number (approximately 1/2) of applicants applied in R1 - about 4250 applicants. At 550 invitations for 4250 applicants, 12.9% of applicants receive an interview invitation. That is artificially low due to our assumptions.
On the conservatively high extreme, we keep the same number of total apps and use the higher interview number. If we read adcom's comment that R2 has grown larger and 'more competitive' than R1 (see website), we assume that R2>R1 in size. Assuming that about a third of applicants apply R3, we'll make the difference between R1 and R2 less than 5% of the applicant pool - leaving R1 in the range of 2650 applicants. At 600 invitations for 2650 applicants, 22.6% of applicants receive an interview invitation. That is a more reasonable estimate, but could be high.
There are hundreds of other variables that would easily make this calculation less accurate. The invite structure could be significantly lower due to higher recent yields, the applicant pool could be significantly larger or smaller, and the breakup between rounds could be completely different. That is why I chose an extreme low - to give that buffer. But, given the above assumptions, we have between 12.9% and 22.6% interview invitation rate for Stanford R1.