Akela wrote:
Climatologist: Over the coming century, winter temperatures are likely to increase in the Rocky Mountains due to global warming. This will cause a greater proportion of precipitation to fall as rain instead of snow. Therefore, the mountain snowpack will probably melt more rapidly and earlier in the season, leading to greater spring flooding and less storable water to meet summer demands.
Which one of the following, if true, most strengthens the climatologist's argument?
(A) Global warming will probably cause a substantial increase in the average amount of annual precipitation in the Rocky Mountains over the coming century.
(B) In other mountainous regions after relatively mild winters, the melting of snowpacks has led to greater spring flooding and less storable water, on average, than in those mountainous regions after colder winters.
(C) On average, in areas of the Rocky Mountains in which winters are relatively mild, there is less storable water to meet summer demands than there is in areas of the Rocky Mountains that experience colder winters.
(D) On average, in the regions of the world with the mildest winters, there is more spring flooding and less storable water than in regions of the world with much colder winters.
(E) The larger a mountain snowpack is, the greater the amount of spring flooding it is likely to be responsible for producing.
Source: LSAT
Question Type: Strengthen
Premise: Temperature increase during winters in the Rocky Mountains due to global warming, will lead to more rain than snow in winters.
Conclusion: The mountain snowpack will probably melt more rapidly and earlier in the season, leading to greater spring flooding and less storable water to meet summer demands.
Analysis: A strengthener should provide additional information to validated the conclusion. Since the snowpack is probably going to melt sooner leading to flooding, a correct answer should either provide some historical data of a similar situation in the same area or in a different location with similar geography & weather. The cause & effect relation should be strengthened.
(A) Global warming will probably cause a substantial increase in the average amount of annual precipitation in the Rocky Mountains over the coming century. - Restating the fact in argument. Incorrect
(B) In other mountainous regions after relatively mild winters, the melting of snowpacks has led to greater spring flooding and less storable water, on average, than in those mountainous regions after colder winters. -
Correct. Similar situation & geography, with similar cause & effect relation.(C) On average, in areas of the Rocky Mountains in which winters are relatively mild, there is less storable water to meet summer demands than there is in areas of the Rocky Mountains that experience colder winters. - Weakens the argument. Incorrect.
(D) On average, in the regions of the world with the mildest winters, there is more spring flooding and less storable water than in regions of the world with much colder winters. - Not specific which regions, it could be Tropical forests, with mild winters, more flooding & less storable waters. However doesn't not help in strengthening the argument. Incorrect
(E) The larger a mountain snowpack is, the greater the amount of spring flooding it is likely to be responsible for producing. - Irrelevant. Incorrect
Answer B.
Thanks,
GyM