Bunuel wrote:
In 1883, the Indonesian island Krakatoa, home to a massive volcano, seemingly disappeared overnight as an eruption rent the entire island apart, catapulting rock and debris into the atmosphere. For the next years, as ash circled the entire globe, the average world temperature dropped by several degrees Fahrenheit. Therefore, an eruption of similar power in terms of the amount of debris ejected into the atmosphere will likely cause the average temperature around the world to drop by several degrees.
Which of the following, if true, best challenges the main claim of the argument?
A. The eruption of the Indonesian island of Tambora was even larger than that of Krakatoa, yet the average world temperature did not drop as much as it did following the eruption of Krakatoa.
B. In 1883, the ocean-atmospheric phenomenon La Nina occurred, an event that is always followed by a drop of several degrees in the world’s average temperature.
C. Due to the effects of climate change, the average world temperature has been steadily increasing over the last few decades.
D. According to sophisticated computer analysis, the eruption of Mt. Toba between 69,000 and 77,000 years ago, one of the most powerful ever, may have hastened an ice age.
E. No volcanic eruption in the 20th century was close to the magnitude of the Krakatoa eruption, yet average world temperatures dropped between 1950 and 1960.
Magoosh Official Explanation:
The argument assumes that one event caused another event. In this case, the volcano eruption, and the subsequent debris pushed into the atmosphere, led to a drop in global temps. The correct answer will provide another cause to the drop in global temperatures.
Only (B) does so. Note, (B) is not saying that the volcano did not cause any drop in temperature, but it attacks the part of the conclusion that states that a volcanic eruption of equal intensity will cause the same drop in temperature. If La Nina was responsible for compounding the drop in temperature, then a similar eruption, without the attendant La Nina, would not necessarily result in the same drop.
(A) is really tempting. The reason it is not the answer is it does not address the conclusion as directly as (B). Though Tambora was a larger eruption, the conclusion states, "in terms of the amount of debris ejected into the atmosphere". We do not know if Tambora ejected more debris into the atmosphere than did Krakatoa.
(C) states that temperatures worldwide have been increasing. That does not mean that a massive eruption could not lead to a drop in world temperatures.
(D) is a general fact that does not relate to the argument.
(E) is wrong because the drop in temperatures is not related to any eruption. Thus, (E) is irrelevant.