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So, are we considering the possibility that when Ricardo picked up the second book, that is the one that he is going to take home, if he is not going to pick the first book that he read in the library? It's not explicitly mentioned in the question, but are we looking at that possibility?
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Hi manupoonia,

Good instinct to question this, because the wording does feel like it should matter. The key is the phrase you may have skimmed past: Ricardo "returns it to the shelf" before the second pick.

That return is what makes both draws happen from the full set of 20 books. That's exactly why Karishma and Bunuel used 20 in the denominator both times - (12/20) for math and (2/20) for chemistry - instead of shrinking the shelf to 19 for the second draw.

So to answer directly: no, the problem is not removing the first book. Because it's replaced, the second draw sees all 20 books again, and yes - he could in principle draw the very same physical book he just read.

But here's why that possibility doesn't affect this answer at all: we're only asked for the probability of one math and one chemistry book. A math book and a chemistry book are, by definition, two different books. So the outcome we're counting can never be "same book twice" - that case only exists for something like "two math books," which isn't what we want. The replacement detail keeps the denominator at 20; the "different book" worry never even comes into play for a math-and-chem result.

A quick way to feel it:
- Roll a die, then roll it again (the die is "returned" each time). P(rolling a 2, then a 5) = (1/6)(1/6). The denominator stays 6 both times - the first roll doesn't shrink the die.
- Getting a 2 and a 5 is automatically two different faces, so "can I repeat?" doesn't change that count.

Same structure here: return = independent draws = denominator stays 20, and a math-and-chem result is always two distinct books anyway.

Answer: C

manupoonia
So, are we considering the possibility that when Ricardo picked up the second book, that is the one that he is going to take home, if he is not going to pick the first book that he read in the library? It's not explicitly mentioned in the question, but are we looking at that possibility?
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manupoonia
So, are we considering the possibility that when Ricardo picked up the second book, that is the one that he is going to take home, if he is not going to pick the first book that he read in the library? It's not explicitly mentioned in the question, but are we looking at that possibility?
It is possible that he picked the same book that he read and took it home. But what we need to find is the probability that one book was Math and the other Chem. So we need the probability that the two books were different such that one is Math and the other Chem. So in our possible cases, the option of both books being the same book does not figure.
Hence we simply use 12/20 for Math and after the Math book was kept back, we again had 20 books and hence probability of picking Chem next is 2/20.
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