Prison overcrowding has forced the early release of hundreds of crimin

Dear All

After due thought, I have doubts between A & C. I understand a few of us have written A as confirmed choice but I thought I should share my answer and take your views on it as well.

B. The parole board that released the criminals was under significant pressure to do so. - Irrelevant , no relation to the conclusion drawn.
D. In an attempt to lower the incidence of violent crime, police officers will work overtime. - Irrelevant , no relation to the conclusion drawn.
E. The population of Metro City would like to stop the early release of any criminals. - Irrelevant , no relation to the conclusion drawn.

Now ;

A. The prisoners released early were first time offenders who had never committed violent crimes. - So prisoners released who have no history of violent crime, but does that mean they are not capable doing it ? The fact that after release of the first lot of prisoners due to over population there is fact that has been shared that crime has increased ( if not due to another reasons ), only reason we can think of is this lot that has been released.

( And just in good humour only, besides, in every movie a innocent guy who goes to prison comes out with a gangster may support this para as well ) , I wonder how can I crack jokes when am averaging 600 and I have GMAT in Dec'18 end :D

C. All prisoners released early are required to report to probation officers. - Now, if a prisoner is released he is supposed to report to PO. A PO is an officer who is in constant touch on regular basis and keeps a check on the activities of his attendees. If attendee is not performing as per expectation, he would be sent back to prison, hence same issue of over population. Or even, does that mean that next set of criminals will be released ?

Again, am happy for someone to advice me on this reasoning, as I mentioned earlier Dec'18 and only inputs from this group can save me I guess.

Regards
Abhinav

I think the (C) is the answer.

(A)- Tells us that the criminals released early are first time offenders and have not committed any violent crimes. However, this does not guarantee future behavior. These criminals may commit violent crimes in the future.

(C) Tells that the criminals released early are being monitored closely. Any misbehaviour on part of these released criminals will result in consequences.

Hence (C)

Question Explanation:

Conclusion: This explains the increase in violent robberies since the early releases began.

Premise: Prison overcrowding has forced the early release of hundreds of criminals back into the population of Metro City.

Assumptions: (1) It’s not a coincidence. It’s not a coincidence that there is an increase in violent robberies since the early releases began.

(2) There’s no other cause. There’s no other cause for the increase in violent robberies.

This is a weaken question as evidenced by the phrase which of the following…jeopardizes the conclusion. The passage contains a causality reasoning pattern, attributing the increase in violent robberies to the early release of hundreds of criminals back into the population of Metro City.

The standard assumptions of a causality reasoning pattern are that it’s not a coincidence and there’s no other cause. Because this is a weaken question, the correct answer will provide a reason that demonstrates that the increase in violent robberies was either a coincidence or potentially caused by other factors. Evaluate the answer choices, looking for one that reflects this idea.

Choice A: Correct. If the prisoners released early were first time offenders who had never committed violent crimes, then it is unlikely that they caused the increase in violent robberies after they were released. Thus, the increase was either a coincidence or caused by other factors.

Choice B: No. Whether the parole board…was under significant pressure is out of scope. This does not weaken the conclusion that the early release of hundreds of criminals…explains the increase in violent robberies since the early releases began.

Choice C: No. Whether prisoners released early are required to report to probation officers is out of scope. This does not weaken the conclusion that the early release of hundreds of criminals…explains the increase in violent robberies since the early releases began.

Choice D: No. The fact that police officers will work overtime is out of scope. This does not weaken the conclusion that the early release of hundreds of criminals…explains the increase in violent robberies since the early releases began.

Choice E: No. The fact that the population of Metro City would like to stop the early release of any criminals is out of scope. This does not weaken the conclusion that the early release of hundreds of criminals…explains the increase in violent robberies since the early releases began.

The correct answer is choice A.

It is one the best examples of better of the worsts

hey, I am still confused between a and c. it would be great if someone can explain

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