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mpobisetty
Can someone tell me why C is not the right answer? It says:

C. A planet orbiting a star similar to the sun would be more likely to be earthlike in size than would a planet orbiting a much smaller star.

Since astronomers have only been looking at planets that orbit stars much smaller than the sun, C is exposing a weakness in "data collection", by mentioning that astronomers are looking at the wrong data; they should be looking at a star "similar to the sun" and not "much smaller than the sun". That way, they would be able to find planets more likely to be earthlike in size.

Of course we don't know "how many" such stars exist, but the point is that C does prove a flaw in data collection; isn't that the point of this question?

AjiteshArun KarishmaB GMATNinja GMATGuruNY
Hi mpobisetty,

Your approach ("astronomers are looking at the wrong data") is correct. An option that tells us that the sample is not representative would be a good fit here. What we want to avoid doing, however, is asking astronomers to look for stars similar to the sun, because that could actually introduce bias into the process.

Option C: This option tells us "A planet orbiting a star similar to the sun would be more likely to be earthlike in size than would a planet orbiting a much smaller star".

Let's say that out of all the planets in the galaxy, only 5% are Earth-like. Now, if we ask astronomers to study only these planets, we'd conclude that 100% of all planets are Earth-like! But that's only because we've introduced bias into the process. So, instead of asking astronomers to focus on certain planets or certain stars, we should try to check whether their sample of 200+ is representative or not.

Here's what the question tells us:
1. Astronomers have detected 200+ planets around other stars
2. Almost all of these planets are much bigger and heavier than Earth and their stars are much smaller than the sun
3. Therefore "small, earthlike worlds form a very low percentage of the planets orbiting stars in the galaxy other than the sun"

What we don't know at this point is whether this sample of 200+ planets is representative or not. If the sample is representative, the conclusion (3) is more likely to be correct, and if the sample is not representative, the conclusion is more likely to be incorrect.

Option D: This option tells us it's harder for astronomers to detect low ~planet:star size (ratio), and that could be why astronomers have found high ~planet:star size (ratio). That is, they're looking at a biased sample.
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Thanks Ajitesh. I found C really difficult to eliminate.

Honestly, I find C also suggesting that they're looking at a biased sample.

They are looking at "stars much smaller than the sun". C says (implies) that this is a biased sample because planets earthlike in size are not likely to be found by looking at stars much smaller than the sun. Is this not a bias?
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mpobisetty
Thanks Ajitesh. I found C really difficult to eliminate.

Honestly, I find C also suggesting that they're looking at a biased sample.

They are looking at "stars much smaller than the sun". C says (implies) that this is a biased sample because planets earthlike in size are not likely to be found by looking at stars much smaller than the sun. Is this not a bias?
As I said, your instinct (looking for an option that indicates a biased sample) is right. What we want to do now is check whether option C actually says or implies any such thing. Let's look at it this way:

1. There are Earth-like (E) planets, and there are non-Earthlike (non-E) planets.

2. Astronomers have detected 200+ extrasolar (outside the solar system) planets in the galaxy.
3. Almost all of these planets are non-E planets orbiting smaller-than-Sun stars.

4. Therefore E planets form a very low percentage of extrasolar planets in the galaxy.

So we go from what we know (~E planets are very rare in the set of 200+ detected planets) to the conclusion (~E planets are generally very rare in the galaxy).

Option C tells us that planets orbiting similar-to-Sun stars are more likely to be E. But it doesn't tell us anything about the relative occurrence of such stars. If option C had told us that similar-to-Sun stars are much more common in the galaxy than in the sample, then option C would have been a good option.
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Thank you for your very elaborate and very clear explanation Ajitesh.

It is clear now.
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But where does it in the passage it says "our galaxy"? All it says is "in the galaxy".
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Recent observations suggest that small, earthlike worlds form a very low percentage of the planets orbiting stars in the galaxy other than the sun. Of over two hundred planets that astronomers have detected around other stars, almost all are hundreds of times larger and heavier than the earth and orbit stars much smaller than the sun.

Which of the following, if true, would most weaken the above justification of the claim that earthlike worlds form a low percentage of the total number of planets?

A. There are millions of planets orbiting stars around which astronomers have not attempted to detect planets.

B. The best current astronomical theories predict that almost all planets around other stars are probably hundreds of times larger than the earth.

C. A planet orbiting a star similar to the sun would be more likely to be earthlike in size than would a planet orbiting a much smaller star.

D. The smaller a planet is relative to the star it orbits, the more difficult it is for astronomers to detect.

E. The observations would have detected any small, earthlike worlds orbiting the stars around which larger planets have been detected.


CR03001.01
Claim: Small planets like Earth are a small percent of planets orbiting stars (other than Sun) in our galaxy.
- Of 200 planets examined, almost all are much larger than Earth and their star much smaller than Sun.

Which would weaken the justification of the claim?

A. There are millions of planets orbiting stars around which astronomers have not attempted to detect planets.

This says that there are millions of planets which have not been examined. Nevertheless, the sample of 200 examined show a particular characteristic. Nothing says that the sample is not representative. Sampling is a valid technique if sample is a good representation of the population. Also, we don't know whether the stars being talked about are from this galaxy.

B. The best current astronomical theories predict that almost all planets around other stars are probably hundreds of times larger than the earth.

This supports our claim.

C. A planet orbiting a star similar to the sun would be more likely to be earthlike in size than would a planet orbiting a much smaller star.

We don't know how many stars are Sun-like. If Sun-like stars form a very low percentage, Earth like planets will form a very low percentage too. We need to weaken the justification i.e. the observation.

D. The smaller a planet is relative to the star it orbits, the more difficult it is for astronomers to detect.

This says that our sample may not be representative of the population. If smaller planets are harder to detect, only large planets might have been detected. Hence, of the 200 planets, most were large because they were easy to find. Perhaps, smaller planets are harder to find and hence were not a part of the 200.

E. The observations would have detected any small, earthlike worlds orbiting the stars around which larger planets have been detected.

This tells us that small planets would have been easy to detect too. This helps our claim.

Answer (D)­
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......stars in the galaxy other than the sun....

Moreover,
A says, we haven’t looked at the population but just the sample set.
D says, there’s something wrong with the sample set.

We can still conclude things about the population from the sample set, but can never use a biased sample.
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But where does it in the passage it says "our galaxy"? All it says is "in the galaxy".
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Hi GMATNinja,
I agree that A is clearly not a weakener. But the issue that I felt with D is that it just talks about increasing difficulty of detect small planets. But this need not be the case that the scientists cannot detect them. It can so be that they can be detected with high difficulty, but are not present to be detected. This was my reasoning for D not being a good weakener. I agree that all other choices can be eliminated on valid grounds, but D is also not the best option. This does line of reasoning make sense?

Thanks in advance
GMATNinja
khan0210
What is with the wording of the new edition of CR questions? I feel like the answer choices are extremely difficult to comprehend.

What does this even mean?
A. There are millions of planets orbiting stars around which astronomers have not attempted to detect planets.

Astronomers have not tried to detect planets out of the millions of planets that orbit the many number of stars? Isn't it supposed to be trying to detect earth-like planets?

Moreover, the OG explanation for why A is incorrect includes "More importantly, though, note that the conclusion is restricted to planets orbiting stars in our galaxy. There is nothing in this answer choice to suggest that the planets it refers to are actually in our galaxy."
Where does the passage explicitly narrow in on our galaxy, and exclude other galaxies?
RK007
and other experts please help us out here!
Why is A wrong? Even after reading the OG explanation I'm not at all convinced. A seems fair. A vs D is hard. They're so close.
Any help would be appreciated. Thanks in advance :)
I agree that some of these new questions are tricky! As usual, the exact language of the passage, question, and answer choices will help to eliminate the incorrect answers.

Let's first take a look at the passage:
  • Conclusion: "Recent observations suggest that small, earthlike worlds form a very low percentage of the planets orbiting stars in the galaxy other than the sun."
  • Justification for this conclusion: "Of over two hundred planets that astronomers have detected around other stars, almost all are hundreds of times larger and heavier than the earth and orbit stars much smaller than the sun."

The question asks which answer choice would "would most weaken the above justification of the claim that earthlike worlds form a low percentage of the total number of planets." There are a couple of things of note in this question:
  • It points us toward the justification for the claim. So, we are trying to weaken that particular piece of the passage, or the link between the justification and the passage's conclusion.
  • We need to find the answer that most weakens the justification -- this leaves open the possibility that multiple answer choices weaken the justification. We may need to eliminate the weaker weakeners (is your head spinning yet?), and keep the strongest weakener.

Take a look at (A):
Quote:
A. There are millions of planets orbiting stars around which astronomers have not attempted to detect planets.
To clarify the meaning of this sentence, note that the things "around which" astronomers have not attempted to detect planets are the "stars" mentioned earlier in the sentence. In other words, astronomers haven't attempted to detect planets around certain stars, and around these stars are millions of planets.

At a glance, this seems to weaken the force of the justification in the passage! Astronomers have only detected 200 planets, so perhaps these are not representative of the millions of other planets out there. Maybe a higher percentage of the not-yet-detected planets are earthlike, which would undermine the author's conclusion that a very low percentage of planets in the galaxy are small and earthlike.

After a bit more thought, though (A) is a pretty weak weakener (for the exact reason mentioned in the OE, which I'll try to explain a bit).

The author's conclusion is focused on the planets in our galaxy, while (A) just tells us that we haven't yet detected a bunch of planets out there somewhere in space. Maybe the 200 planets that were already detected are all within our galaxy, while the millions of undetected planets are outside of our galaxy. In this case, the justification in the passage would not be weakened very much, because the data from the 200 planets would be much more relevant to the conclusion than would the new information provided by (A).

We don't know for sure whether this is true, so we just have to keep in mind that (A) may weaken the justification provided in the passage, or it may not.

Now take a look at (D):
Quote:
D. The smaller a planet is relative to the star it orbits, the more difficult it is for astronomers to detect.
The justification in the passage for the author's conclusion is that "almost all" of the 200 planets detected by astronomers are much heavier than the earth and orbit much smaller stars. From this, the author concludes that a very low percentage of planets in the galaxy are small/earthlike.

But wait -- what if astronomers just suck at detecting small/earthlike planets in the first place? Then the justification (that almost all of the detected planets are big) doesn't mean much. It just shows that we are good at detecting one kind of planet, and bad at detecting another. The link between the 200 detected planets and the conclusion is pretty much destroyed.

(D), if true, makes the justification provided in the passage kind of worthless. (A), in comparison, is the weaker weakener -- because we don't know whether the millions of undetected planets are in our galaxy, we don't know how much it impacts the force of the passage's justification.

For this reason, (A) is out and (D) is the right answer.

I hope that helps!
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Conclusion- small earthlike planets form a very small %age of all the planets that orbit around stars (other than sun).

Evidence from which this conclusion is drawn- 200 planets that were detected around other stars, almost all are much larger than Earth and those stars are much smaller than sun

Assumption is that this sample of planets that were detected around these other stars is a fair representation of other planets and stars in the galaxy

Weaken the conclusion:

A. It does not attack the assumption at all. 200 planets is a sample- the question is whether its fair or not to represent all the other millions of planets and stars

B. Another evidence with more stats consistent with this study that actually strengthens the conclusion

C. This is difficult to eliminate because if similar stars like sun are supposed to have Earthlike planets and this study has studied only smaller stars, then it might have missed studying those stars but still we do not know how many such stars exist- if there are almost to none, then it still does not weaken the conclusion.

D. It is difficult to detect planets that are relatively smaller than the stars- the study has already studied much smaller stars than sun and if there are planets that are smaller than those stars, then they would not have been detected making the stats completely biased because only bigger planets are visible- directly casts doubt on the assumption- Correct

E. Strengthener rather than the weakener
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Step 1: Identify the conclusion
Earthlike worlds form a very low percentage of the total number of planets orbiting stars in the galaxy.

Step 2: Identify the structure / line of reasoning
Type: Generalization Argument (Sample / Detection Data \rightarrow Universal Population Conclusion)

Step 3: Core line of reasoning (Scratch Pad)
Premise: Out of over 200 detected exoplanets, almost all are hundreds of times larger and heavier than Earth.
Conclusion: Small, Earthlike planets form a very low percentage of all planets in the galaxy.
Logic Gap: Assumes that the sample of detected planets accurately reflects the true population distribution of all planets.

Step 4: Blind Pre-phrase (Solver's Prediction)
Goal: Weaken a sampling/generalization argument.
Prediction: Show that the sample is biased due to measurement or detection limitations—specifically, that smaller planets are simply much harder to detect with current technology than massive planets.
Step 5: Option Analysis
(A) There are millions of planets orbiting stars around which astronomers have not attempted to detect planets.
Explanation: Unobserved stars do not reveal any flaw in the detection methodology used for the observed sample.
(B) The best current astronomical theories predict that almost all planets around other stars are probably hundreds of times larger than the earth.
Explanation: Theoretical alignment reinforces the finding, which strengthens the argument rather than weakening it.
(C) A planet orbiting a star similar to the sun would be more likely to be earthlike in size than would a planet orbiting a much smaller star.
Explanation: Comparing star types does not address the underlying detection capability for small planets.
(D) The smaller a planet is relative to the star it orbits, the more difficult it is for astronomers to detect.
Explanation: Correct. Directly matches the pre-phrase by establishing detection bias. If small planets are inherently harder to detect, their low representation in the detected sample reflects equipment limitations, not true galactic rarity.
(E) The observations would have detected any small, earthlike worlds orbiting the stars around which larger planets have been detected.
Explanation: Rules out detection limitations, which validates the sample and strengthens the author's conclusion.
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Step 1: Identify the conclusion
To maintain prompt handling of claims, Vasquez-Morrell should lay off adjusters who take the longest, on average, to complete claims.

Step 2: Identify the structure / line of reasoning
Type: Cause-Effect / Plan Evaluation Argument

Step 3: Core line of reasoning (Scratch Pad)
Premise: Company is cutting adjusters by 15%.
Goal: Minimize impact on prompt claim handling.
Proposal: Lay off adjusters with the highest average completion time per claim.
Link: Long average completion time = Inefficient/slow adjuster.

Step 4: Paraphrase
Goal: Weaken the consultants' selection criterion.
Prediction: Show that high average completion time is caused by assigned claim complexity rather than adjuster slowness. Firing these adjusters would remove the staff best equipped to handle difficult claims.

Step 5: Option Analysis
(A) If the time that Vasquez-Morrell takes to settle claims increases significantly, it could lose business to other insurers.
Explanation: Identifies the risk of delays but does not evaluate whether average processing time is a valid layoff criterion.
(B) Supervisors at Vasquez-Morrell tend to assign the most complex claims to the most capable adjusters.
Explanation: Correct. Matches the pre-phrase. Complex claims naturally take longer to process. If capable adjusters handle complex claims, their high average completion times stem from claim difficulty. Laying them off would remove the firm's most capable adjusters and severely hurt processing promptness.
(C) At Vasquez-Morrell, no insurance payments are made until a claims adjuster has reached a final determination on the claim.
Explanation: Describes standard payment procedures without evaluating adjuster efficiency.
(D) There are no positions at Vasquez-Morrell to which staff currently employed as claims adjusters could be reassigned.
Explanation: Reassignment logistics do not impact the validity of the layoff criterion.
(E) The premiums that Vasquez-Morrell currently charges are no higher than those charged for similar coverage by competitors.
Explanation: Competitor premium pricing is irrelevant to internal staff efficiency and claim processing speeds.
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