Please go through it once and do let me know how can I improve it? Also how good will I score on this?The following appeared in an announcement issued by the publisher of The Mercury, a weekly newspaper:
“Since a competing lower-priced newspaper, The Bugle, was started five years ago, The Mercury’s circulation has declined by 10,000 readers. The best way to get more people to read The Mercury is to reduce its price below that of The Bugle, at least until circulation increases to former levels. The increased circulation of The Mercury will attract more businesses to buy advertising space in the paper.”
Discuss how well reasoned . . . etc.
The argument in the memorandum claims that the best way to get more people to read The Mercury is to reduce its price below that of The Bulge, at least until the circulation increases to former levels. Stated in this way the argument is inconclusive without data supporting its hypothesis, tends to manipulate facts to present a distorted view of the reality, and also is a leap of faith reasoning without clear outcomes. In sum, the argument could be improved if it is supported with relevant data on which its core assumptions depend upon.
First the argument readily assumes that reducing the price of The Mercury will help it gain more readers and help it reach to its former levels. This statement can be incorrect because there could be several other reasons for the readers switching from The Mercury to The Bulge like the type of content, use of language, way of presenting the news etc. The argument could have been much clearer if it explicitly stated that how the circulation of The Bulge has affected the newspapers year per year and based on the geography and interest of its readers.
Second, the argument claims that the increased circulation of The Mercury will attract more business to buy advertising space in the paper, but it does not specify how will this help the financials of the company. How much more funding will it bring to the table and at what cost. Also if more space is provided for the advertisement will it not affect the readers again moving to other source of news? Without convincing answers to all these questions, one is left with impression that the claim is more of a wishful thing rather than substantive evidence.
In conclusion, the argument is flawed for the above mentioned reasons and is therefore not convincing. It would be considerably stronger if the author clearly mentioned what were the reasons for The Mercury readership to go down in these five years. In order to assess the merits of a decision, it is necessary to have full knowledge of the contributing factors. Without this info, the argument remains indefensible and open to debate.