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Math Expert
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Re: There are 100 marbles in a jar. Forty of the marbles are black and 60 [#permalink]
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Probability of getting AT LEAST 1 Black marble = 1-(Probability of getting white marble)

Hence,
=1-(60/100)(60/100)(60/100)
=1-(0.6)^3
=1-0.216
=0.784

Note:Use cube of 6 to get the answer quickly.

If you like the answer a kudos is appreciated.
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Re: There are 100 marbles in a jar. Forty of the marbles are black and 60 [#permalink]
Expert Reply
Bunuel wrote:
There are 100 marbles in a jar. Forty of the marbles are black and 60 are white. What is the probability of getting at least one black marble in three consecutive picks, with replacement of the marble each time?

A. 0.216
B. 0.316
C. 0.500
D. 0.684
E. 0.784


Solution:

We can use the equation:

P(at least one black marble) = 1 - P(no black marbles)

P(at least one black marble) = 1 - P(all white marbles)

P(at least one black marble) = 1 - (3/5 x 3/5 x 3/5)

P(at least one black marble) = 1 - 27/125 = 1 - 216/1000 = 1 - 0.216 = 0.784

Alternate Solution:

The long way is to consider that any of the following cases will satisfy the requirement:

Case 1. One black and two white: BWW, WBW, WWB, and each outcome has a probability of 2/5 x 3/5 x 3/5 = 18/125. Because there are 3 different outcomes, multiply by 3 to get 54/125.

Case 2. Two black and one white: WBB, BWB, BBW , and each outcome has a probability of 3/5 x 2/5 x 2/5 = 12/125. Because there are 3 different outcomes, multiply by 3 to get 36/125

Case 3. Three black: BBB, with probability 2/5 x 2/5 x 2/5 = 8/125.

Thus, the probability of getting at least one black marble is the sum: 54/125 + 36/125 + 8/125 = 98/125.= 0.784.

Answer: E
GMAT Club Bot
Re: There are 100 marbles in a jar. Forty of the marbles are black and 60 [#permalink]
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