chetan2u wrote:
While designing a game involving chance, Desmond noticed that the probability a fair coin lands faceup exactly 2 times when the coin is tossed 3 times is equal to the probability that a fair coin lands faceup exactly
m times when the coin is tossed
n times, where
n > 3.
Select for
m and for
n values consistent with the given information. Make only two selections, one in each column.
Probability a fair coin lands faceup exactly 2 times when the coin is tossed 3 timesTotal outcomes when a fair coin is tossed 3 times = 2^3 = 8
Favorable outcomes = 3!/2! = 3 (HHT or HTH or THH)
So required probability = 3/8
This is a bit less than 1/2.
When will we get the same probability if the coin is tosses 4 times or 5 times or 6 times?Consider a coin tossed 4 times. Since it is fair coin, the probability of getting only 1 Heads (less likely) will be significantly lower than that of getting 2 Heads (more likely)
Total outcomes when a fair coin is tossed 4 times = 2^4 = 16
Favorable outcomes = 4!/2!*2! = 6 (HHTT or HTTH etc.)
So required probability = 6/16 = 3/8
It matches and hence we select
m = 2 and n = 4. ANSWERNote that as the number of tosses increases, this probability will keep reducing. At 5 coin tosses, the highest probability will be of gettig 2 Heads (will be the same as that of getting 3) Heads which will be 5/16 - much lower than 1/2
This is so because there are many other possibilities - Only 1 Heads (same as 4 Heads) or No Heads (same as All Heads)
When there are 6 tosses, the probability of getting 3 Heads will be 5/16 again - much lower than 1/2
The logic is same as above.