BLTN wrote:
Dear
GMATNinja,
I have alike question and read your explanation, thanks for detailed answer.
Quote:
When Suriland’s wheat farmers move to sell on the world market, the world market will change, and the price of wheat will likely decrease. So, let’s say that the current price of wheat on the world market is $100 per bushel. Then, Suriland farmers are paid $99 per bushel. BUT when the Suriland farmers join the world market, the price of wheat drops to $80 per bushel. Now, Suriland farmers earn $80 (less any transportation costs) per bushel. So, the farmers do not actually earn more. Let’s keep (B).
But, the argument mentioned nothing about Profit. The conclusion clearly states that
Quote:
if the farmers could sell their wheat on the world market, they would make a dollar per bushel more, less....
Taking into consideration that the government pays farmers a dollar per bushel less than
the price on the world market, we can infer that price will always be X+1$ for Export and X-1$ for sale to Government.
Thus, whatever price is the conclusion will always hold true. In this case, how B can weaken?
Thank you in advance, Charles.
Hi
BLTN,
I would love to try and help with this one! @GMATNinja’s
explanation for option B is spot on. Hopefully, this explanation will help provide some clarity on the underlying nuances.
Here is my understanding of what is really going on!
The current situation Suriland’s wheat farmers are forced to sell their crop to the government at a price that is $1 per bushel less than the price of wheat on the world market.
For example:World market price of wheat = $100
Price at which the farmers sell their wheat to the government = $99 (Current selling price!)
The conclusion Quote:
“Therefore, if the farmers could sell their wheat on the world market, they would make a dollar per bushel more, less any additional transportation and brokerage costs they would have to pay.”
Our conclusion here is dealing with a hypothetical situation.
If – the farmers could in fact sell their wheat on the world market (instead of being forced to sell to the government),
then –
they would make a dollar per bushel more, not including additional transportation and brokerage costs they would have to pay.
Now, focus on the
bolded portion above. It is important to visualize this carefully. Here are some important questions to ask -
1. Are we talking about selling price per bushel or profit per bushel?The author is talking about what the farmers will make excluding the additional transportation and brokerage costs they would have to pay.
“Less additional transportation and brokerage costs they would have to pay.” - is a clue.
The author would not be discussing about removing a cost component when talking about selling price. This would typically only come up when dealing with profit (revenue – costs).
2. “They would make a dollar per bushel more”. Great. But more as compared to what exactly? This is a very important point. The author is clearly suggesting that compared to what the farmers make in the current real situation, they would actually make a dollar per bushel more in the hypothetical situation described in the conclusion.
Let’s visualize this situation using numbers.
The conclusion is that if, instead of selling to the government, the farmers could sell to the international market, then they would make one dollar per bushel more ($40 - $39) compared to what they are actually making in real life. This is not including those additional costs.
I suspect that you understood the conclusion to mean that the price will be one dollar more compared to the price the government will offer (given that the government is offering a price that is $1 less than the world market price, whatever the market price is, it will be $1 more than what the government is offering).
I hope that you see now the actual comparison at play in the conclusion!
If this is clear, then it’s easy to see why option B works.
Quote:
Option B: Sale of a substantial proportion of Suriland's wheat crop on the world market would probably depress the price of wheat.
If the world market price goes down from its current level, then, it really casts doubt on the conclusion that the farmers would have made $1 more per bushel than what they are getting currently.
For example:
Currently, the farmers are making $39 per bushel from the government. Choice B tells us that if they sold their wheat on the World Market, instead of making $40 a bushel, they could end up making less than $40. This is what option B indicates – it is a valid weakener.
Hope this helps!
Harsha