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Manager  Joined: 25 Dec 2009
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The probability that a family with 6 children has exactly  [#permalink]

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Question Stats: 60% (01:26) correct 40% (01:29) wrong based on 821 sessions

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The probability that a family with 6 children has exactly four boys is:

A. 1/3
B. 1/64
C. 15/64
D. 3/8
E. none of the above

Originally posted by GMATMadeeasy on 08 Jan 2010, 16:56.
Last edited by Bunuel on 10 Feb 2012, 11:42, edited 1 time in total.
Edited the question and added the OA
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The probability that a family with 6 children has exactly four boys is:

A. 1/3
B. 1/64
C. 15/64
D. 3/8
E. none of the above

NOTE: If the probability of a certain event is $$p$$ ($$\frac{1}{2}$$ in our case), then the probability of it occurring $$k$$ times (4 times in our case) in $$n$$-time (6 in our case) sequence is:

$$P = C^k_n*p^k*(1-p)^{n-k}$$

$$P = C^k_n*p^k*(1-p)^{n-k}= C^4_6*(\frac{1}{2})^4*(1-\frac{1}{2})^{6-4}= C^4_6*(\frac{1}{2})^4*(\frac{1}{2})^{2}=\frac{6!}{4!2!}*\frac{1}{2^6}=\frac{15}{64}$$

Consider this:

We are looking for the case BBBBGG, probability of each B or G is $$\frac{1}{2}$$, hence $$\frac{1}{2^6}$$. But BBBBGG can occur (these letters can be arranged) in $$\frac{6!}{4!2!}$$ # of ways. So, the total probability would be $$\frac{6!}{4!2!}*\frac{1}{2^6}=\frac{15}{64}$$.

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Manager  Joined: 27 Apr 2008
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Is it E? Here is my reasoning:

Now let's find the # of combinations where there's a BGB combination. Let the sequence of BG=A:
BBAA
BAAB
BABA
ABBA
ABAB
AABB

So there are 6 combinations here. But since BG can also be GB, we have to multiply by 2. We have to multiply by another 2 because there are 2 As. Therefore, there are 6x2x2=24 combinations.

We also have to include the instances where GG occurs at the end or the front, that is:
GGBBBB
BBBBGG
(all the other instances such as BBGGBB have been taken care of in the calculation at the top)

So we have 24+2=26 possibilities of 4 boys and 2 girls.

The total number of possibilities is 2^6=64. Therefore, the probability is 26/64, which is 13/32. The answer is E, none of the above.
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mrblack wrote:
Is it E? Here is my reasoning:

Now let's find the # of combinations where there's a BGB combination. Let the sequence of BG=A:
BBAA
BAAB
BABA
ABBA
ABAB
AABB

So there are 6 combinations here. But since BG can also be GB, we have to multiply by 2. We have to multiply by another 2 because there are 2 As. Therefore, there are 6x2x2=24 combinations.

We also have to include the instances where GG occurs at the end or the front, that is:
GGBBBB
BBBBGG
(all the other instances such as BBGGBB have been taken care of in the calculation at the top)

So we have 24+2=26 possibilities of 4 boys and 2 girls.

The total number of possibilities is 2^6=64. Therefore, the probability is 26/64, which is 13/32. The answer is E, none of the above.

Your solution can be simplified this way as well:

Total number of events : 2^6 as each position can be filled in exactly two ways
Events in favor : (4 Boys and Two Girls; It is like 6 objects in which 4 are alike and 2 others are alike) so 6!/2!4!

If it were a probability question, I will follow Bunuel's aproach but the solution above is also important if it is counting problem.

Question: If we have n objects out f which p are alike, q are alike, how many possible number of comnitations are possible ? If it were a permutation problem, answer is n!/p!*q! as in the question above
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2
I think this way:

For each child we've two options i.e., that child can either be a boy or a girl.Hence we have 2^6 = 64 total outcomes.
Now out of 6 children any 4 of them can boys and this can be done in 6C4 = 15 ways.
Now here I don't think that ordering does matter in this case.

So the probability comes out to be 15/64.

P.S. Please explain me if ordering really matters in this case as my understanding is quite naive in these problems.
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ashueureka wrote:
I think this way:

For each child we've two options i.e., that child can either be a boy or a girl.Hence we have 2^6 = 64 total outcomes.
Now out of 6 children any 4 of them can boys and this can be done in 6C4 = 15 ways.
Now here I don't think that ordering does matter in this case.

So the probability comes out to be 15/64.

P.S. Please explain me if ordering really matters in this case as my understanding is quite naive in these problems.

This way of solving is also correct. You've already considered all possible arrangements for BBBBGG with 6C4, which is 6!/4!2!. If you look at my solution and at yours you'll see that both wrote the same formulas but with different approach.
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chetan2u wrote:
hi bunuel , this is binomial distr(seen a few q on gmat).... do we have q in gmat on which we require hypergeometric distr

Simple ones. For example: there are 3 men and 5 women, what's the probability of choosing 5 people out of which 2 are men?

This can be considered as hypergeometric distribution, but it's quite simple: 3C2*5C3/8C5.
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hi bunuel
could u plz provide a few application qs. to this formula?
TIA

Bunuel wrote:
NOTE: If the probability of a certain event is $$p$$ ($$\frac{1}{2}$$ in our case), then the probability of it occurring $$k$$ times (4 times in our case) in $$n$$-time (6 in our case) sequence is:

$$P = C^k_n*p^k*(1-p)^{n-k}$$

$$P = C^k_n*p^k*(1-p)^{n-k}= C^4_6*(\frac{1}{2})^4*(1-\frac{1}{2})^{6-4}= C^4_6*(\frac{1}{2})^4*(\frac{1}{2})^{2}=\frac{6!}{4!2!}*\frac{1}{2^6}=\frac{15}{64}$$

Consider this:

We are looking for the case BBBBGG, probability of each B or G is $$\frac{1}{2}$$, hence $$\frac{1}{2^6}$$. But BBBBGG can occur (these letters can be arranged) in $$\frac{6!}{4!2!}$$ # of ways. So, the total probability would be $$\frac{6!}{4!2!}*\frac{1}{2^6}=\frac{15}{64}$$.

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mojorising800 wrote:
hi bunuel
could u plz provide a few application qs. to this formula?
TIA

Bunuel wrote:
NOTE: If the probability of a certain event is $$p$$ ($$\frac{1}{2}$$ in our case), then the probability of it occurring $$k$$ times (4 times in our case) in $$n$$-time (6 in our case) sequence is:

$$P = C^k_n*p^k*(1-p)^{n-k}$$

$$P = C^k_n*p^k*(1-p)^{n-k}= C^4_6*(\frac{1}{2})^4*(1-\frac{1}{2})^{6-4}= C^4_6*(\frac{1}{2})^4*(\frac{1}{2})^{2}=\frac{6!}{4!2!}*\frac{1}{2^6}=\frac{15}{64}$$

Consider this:

We are looking for the case BBBBGG, probability of each B or G is $$\frac{1}{2}$$, hence $$\frac{1}{2^6}$$. But BBBBGG can occur (these letters can be arranged) in $$\frac{6!}{4!2!}$$ # of ways. So, the total probability would be $$\frac{6!}{4!2!}*\frac{1}{2^6}=\frac{15}{64}$$.

Check the Probability and Combinatorics chapters in Math Book (link in my signature): theory, examples and links to the problems.
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We missed this in this thread :

Question: If we have n objects out of which p are alike, q are alike, and we are to choose r objects out of it, how many possible number of comnitations are possible ? A permutation problem, answer is nPr/p!*q! as in the discussion above , but in case of combination what is formula? ??

Lets say we have 10 books, out of which 3 are copies of same book, 4 are copies of another book in how many ways 4 books can be selected ?

so answer is : 5C4 I beleive i.e. 10-3-4 are different books i.e. 3 different books, 3 books of one type can be treated as one, 4 other different books can be treated as one again.. so total 5 books , out of which 4 can be selected.

@Bunel : While thinking of a question for you, I got the answer too . THANKS. Question to Bunel : I have flexed my muscles in number roperties but need to sweat more, could you refer me some part over this site for basic and advance review of number properties, as well as well "hard but GOOD questions" .

Originally posted by GMATMadeeasy on 09 Jan 2010, 13:59.
Last edited by GMATMadeeasy on 09 Jan 2010, 15:29, edited 1 time in total.
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We missed this in this thread :

Question: If we have n objects out of which p are alike, q are alike, and we are to choose r objects out of it, how many possible number of comnitations are possible ? A permutation problem, answer is nCr/p!*q! as in the discussion above , but in case of combination what is formula? ??

Can you please give an example of this, to understand correctly your question?
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Ah I see where I got it wrong now. Thanks for the Math book reference.
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Bunuel wrote:
NOTE: If the probability of a certain event is $$p$$ ($$\frac{1}{2}$$ in our case), then the probability of it occurring $$k$$ times (4 times in our case) in $$n$$-time (6 in our case) sequence is:

$$P = C^k_n*p^k*(1-p)^{n-k}$$

$$P = C^k_n*p^k*(1-p)^{n-k}= C^4_6*(\frac{1}{2})^4*(1-\frac{1}{2})^{6-4}= C^4_6*(\frac{1}{2})^4*(\frac{1}{2})^{2}=\frac{6!}{4!2!}*\frac{1}{2^6}=\frac{15}{64}$$

By the way, the formula should be this instead:

$$P = C^n_k*p^k*(1-p)^{n-k}$$
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mrblack wrote:
Bunuel wrote:
NOTE: If the probability of a certain event is $$p$$ ($$\frac{1}{2}$$ in our case), then the probability of it occurring $$k$$ times (4 times in our case) in $$n$$-time (6 in our case) sequence is:

$$P = C^k_n*p^k*(1-p)^{n-k}$$

$$P = C^k_n*p^k*(1-p)^{n-k}= C^4_6*(\frac{1}{2})^4*(1-\frac{1}{2})^{6-4}= C^4_6*(\frac{1}{2})^4*(\frac{1}{2})^{2}=\frac{6!}{4!2!}*\frac{1}{2^6}=\frac{15}{64}$$

By the way, the formula should be this instead:

$$P = C^n_k*p^k*(1-p)^{n-k}$$

It's the same. Since n>=k, you can write as $$nCk$$, $$C(n,k)$$, $$C(k,n)$$, $$C^n_k$$, $$C^k_n$$, it's clear what is meant. Actually in different books you can find different forms of writing this. Walker in his topic used $$C^n_k$$, but $$C^k_n$$ is also correct.
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The probability that a family with 6 children has exactly  [#permalink]

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Bunuel can you please explain the logic behind 'p' being 1/2

Originally posted by ram186 on 21 Jan 2017, 04:16.
Last edited by ram186 on 21 Jan 2017, 04:19, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: The probability that a family with 6 children has exactly  [#permalink]

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ram186 wrote:
Bunuel wrote:
The probability that a family with 6 children has exactly four boys is:

A. 1/3
B. 1/64
C. 15/64
D. 3/8
E. none of the above

NOTE: If the probability of a certain event is $$p$$ ($$\frac{1}{2}$$ in our case), then the probability of it occurring $$k$$ times (4 times in our case) in $$n$$-time (6 in our case) sequence is:

$$P = C^k_n*p^k*(1-p)^{n-k}$$

$$P = C^k_n*p^k*(1-p)^{n-k}= C^4_6*(\frac{1}{2})^4*(1-\frac{1}{2})^{6-4}= C^4_6*(\frac{1}{2})^4*(\frac{1}{2})^{2}=\frac{6!}{4!2!}*\frac{1}{2^6}=\frac{15}{64}$$

Consider this:

We are looking for the case BBBBGG, probability of each B or G is $$\frac{1}{2}$$, hence $$\frac{1}{2^6}$$. But BBBBGG can occur (these letters can be arranged) in $$\frac{6!}{4!2!}$$ # of ways. So, the total probability would be $$\frac{6!}{4!2!}*\frac{1}{2^6}=\frac{15}{64}$$.

Answer: C.[/Bunuel can you please explain the logic behind 'p' being 1/2]

The probability of having a girl = the probability of having a boy = 1/2.
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Re: The probability that a family with 6 children has exactly  [#permalink]

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How we can infer that the chance of having a boy is 0.5?
What if it were 0.2 ?
Don't you think the question stem must at least asserts that it is a normal family with equal change of getting a boy or a girl?
Correct me, if my thoughts is wrong.
Thanks.
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Re: The probability that a family with 6 children has exactly  [#permalink]

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soleimanian wrote:
How we can infer that the chance of having a boy is 0.5?
What if it were 0.2 ?
Don't you think the question stem must at least asserts that it is a normal family with equal change of getting a boy or a girl?
Correct me, if my thoughts is wrong.
Thanks.

Proper GMAT question would specify this. So, don't worry on the actual exam everything will be unambiguous.
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Re: The probability that a family with 6 children has exactly  [#permalink]

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The probability that a family with 6 children has exactly four boys is:

A. 1/3
B. 1/64
C. 15/64
D. 3/8
E. none of the above

Hi,

Please tell me what is the meaning of this question. I am not able to get any relation between a chicken and boy.
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Re: The probability that a family with 6 children has exactly  [#permalink]

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kanthaliya wrote:
The probability that a family with 6 children has exactly four boys is:

A. 1/3
B. 1/64
C. 15/64
D. 3/8
E. none of the above

Hi,

Please tell me what is the meaning of this question. I am not able to get any relation between a chicken and boy.

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Children not chicken.
_________________ Re: The probability that a family with 6 children has exactly   [#permalink] 09 Sep 2018, 06:18

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