Bunuel wrote:
A chef is studying a cookbook on the regional flavors of Tuscany. He learns a recipe for pasta sauce in which garlic is added to a tomato base. He predicts that a recipe on the next page to make a different pasta sauce will also call for garlic.
Which of the following most closely parallels the flaw in the cook’s reasoning?
(A) A banker recognizes a counterfeit bill and estimates that one in every thousand transactions will involve a counterfeit bill.
(B) A horse wins a local race, and its owner predicts that the horse will win its next race at the state level.
(C) To generate an overall grade for a collectible trading card, a grader assigns a numerical value to each of four criteria—corners, edges, centering, and surface. He concludes that the next card to earn the same four subgrades will also be assigned the same overall grade.
(D) A restaurant is awarded a Michelin star, but its head chef believes that the restaurant serves better food than other restaurants awarded one Michelin star.
(E) A child learns the pronunciation of “laughter” and reasons that “slaughter” is pronounced with an “f” sound.
The chef assumes that a single ingredient would remain common in recipes in the cookbook
(A) A banker recognizes a counterfeit bill and estimates that one in every thousand transactions will involve a counterfeit bill.
--> Not parallel as the banker predicts a pattern and not a commonality in the bills
(B) A horse wins a local race, and its owner predicts that the horse will win its next race at the state level.
The horse (garlic equivalent) is expected to play the same role in the next race (recipe equivalent). Looks good.(C) To generate an overall grade for a collectible trading card, a grader assigns a numerical value to each of four criteria—corners, edges, centering, and surface. He concludes that the next card to earn the same four subgrades will also be assigned the same overall grade.
(D) A restaurant is awarded a Michelin star, but its head chef believes that the restaurant serves better food than other restaurants awarded one Michelin star.
--> No common pattern here
(E) A child learns the pronunciation of “laughter” and reasons that “slaughter” is pronounced with an “f” sound.
--> The looks parallel as the reasoning for having a similar word (pasta parallel) but the "f" sound (garlic) is being assumed to remain common. However, in this case the word is known and the logic is refuted
IMHO Option B