The following appeared in the newspaper column-
"Two years ago, 50% of the total applications received by Sandstone University for college admissions were from the
candidates living locally. Today, this figure has dropped to 35%. Clearly, the university's popularity among the local youth
has declined and the administrators must conceptualize and run a rigorous marketing campaign for establishing a strong
brand locally, until the former proportion of applications from local candidates is achieved."
Discuss how well reasoned you find this argument. In your discussion, be sure to analyze the line of reasoning and the use of
evidence in the argument. For example, you may need to consider what questionable assumptions underlie the thinking and
what alternative explanations or counterexamples might weaken the conclusion. You can also discuss what sort of evidence
would strengthen or refute the argument, what changes in the argument would make it more logically sound, and what, if
anything, would help you better evaluate its conclusion.
The argument states that decline in the popularity of university among local youth has led to decline in total application received by Sandstone University from 50% to 35%. Hence, the administrators should conceptualize and run a rigorous marketing campaign for establishing a strong brand locally. Stated in this way, argument fails to mention several key factors on the basis of which it can be evaluated. The argument is based on various unwarranted assumptions for which there are no clear evidences. Thus, the argument is rather weak and has several flaws.
First, the argument assumes that lack of popularity of the Sandstone University is the only reason for decline in total applications from local youth. However, there can be other reasons such as decline in quality of education, change in admission procedure, reduction in total college seats etc. The argument fails to consider these possibilities and didn't provide any evidence or support pertaining to above assumption.
Second, the argument assumes that running a marketing campaign is the best solution for increasing popularity of Sandstone University among local youths. But why does author considers marketing campaign as a viable solution among all the available options? And what about cost associated with conceptualizing and running a market campaign? How this expenses will be funded ? Without any satisfactory answer to above questions, argument remains merely a wishful thinking,
Finally, author makes conclusion purely on the basis of percentage decline in total applications from local youth. Lets say, for example that Sandstone University received a total 10,000 application 2 years ago and out of this, 50% i.e. - 5,000 were from local youths, Now, in current year let us suppose that University received a total 30,000 application and out of this 35% i.e.- 10,500 were from local youth. It is quite clear from the above example that applications didn't decrease but they almost double. By making a argument purely on the basis of percentage decline in total applications and ignoring absolute numbers, argument damages the credibility of conclusion.
In nutshell, the argument is weak, unconvincing and suffers from various flaws, The argument would have been considerably strengthened if it had mentioned reasons for choosing marketing campaigns over other options, absolute numbers with percentage decline and various assumptions with clear support for them. Without this information, argument remains unsubstantiated and open to debate.