Bunuel
An ecology magazine regularly publishes articles on tree diseases. This year, the number of articles on Ophiostoma ulmi, the fungus that causes Dutch elm disease, is significantly smaller than the number of such articles that appeared last year. Clearly, fewer researchers studied Ophiostoma ulmi this year than did so last year.
Which of the following, if true, weakens the above conclusion?
A. Many researchers publishing articles are currently studying Stegophora ulmeay a fungus that causes elm leaf spot.
B. Since its introduction, Dutch elm disease has killed half of the elm trees in North America.
C. Research on Dutch elm disease that focuses on prevention receives more funding than research that focuses on finding a cure.
D. A new strain of the fungus Rhytisma acerinum infested maple trees at an unprecedented rate this year.
E. All articles go through at least a one-year review process before publication.
KAPLAN OFFICIAL EXPLANATION:
E
Conclusion: Fewer researchers studied Ophiostoma ulmi this year than last year.
Evidence: This year the number of articles on Ophiostoma ulmi is significantly smaller than the number of such articles that appeared last year.
Assumption: Researchers always write and publish articles in the same year the research occurs.
The conclusion is based on the assumption that there's an exact correspondence between the number of articles published on a given topic in a certain year and the number of researchers researching that topic. If, as (E) states, all articles are delayed at least a year, then the number of articles published will not necessarily correspond with the number of researchers. This casts doubt on the assumption, so it is correct.
(A) says nothing about whether the number of researchers studying Ophiostoma ulmi increased or decreased. (B) is wrong because the extent of Dutch elm disease is outside the scope of the question, which is only concerned with how many people are studying the fungus that causes the disease. (C)'s information is irrelevant to the actual number of research studies completed. (D) concerns a different type of fungus, so it is incorrect And, if anything, this would strengthen the argument by giving a possible reason for a decline in research related to Ophiostoma ulmi.