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Marine and Juhu beach, 5 miles from each other, are the two top beache

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Marine and Juhu beach, 5 miles from each other, are the two top beache [#permalink] New post   31 May 2016, 07:07
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Marine and Juhu beach, 5 miles from each other, are the two top beaches in country X. After recent epidemic at Marine beach in August, two months back, the influx of tourists in Juhu beach has increased when compared to same time in earlier years. It can, therefore, be concluded that this increase of tourists in Juhu beach is directly related to the epidemic in Marine beach.

Which of the following, if true, weakens the argument ?

(1) Inspite of epidemic at Marine beach, there was little effect on tourists who visited country X.
(2) The influx of tourist is normally high in months after August as compared to rest of the year.
(3) There were few cases of drowning in Juhu beach in the month of August this year.
(4) Few of the much awaited tourist attractions have been opened in last three months in the three top beaches of country X.
(5) Although the two beaches are just 5 miles, there has been no reported case of disease from area around Juhu beach.
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D
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Senthil7
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Re: Marine and Juhu beach, 5 miles from each other, are the two top beache [#permalink] New post   31 May 2016, 08:01
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Conclusion:- increase of tourists in Juhu beach is directly related to the epidemic in Marine beach
Premise 2 :- After recent epidemic at Marine beach in August, two months back, the influx of tourists in Juhu beach has increased when compared to same time in earlier years.
Premise 1:- Marine and Juhu beach, 5 miles from each other, are the two top beaches in country X.
.
(1) Inspite of epidemic at Marine beach, there was little effect on tourists who visited country X - The tourists need not necessarily visit beaches hence does not relate to the conclusion or the premise based on which the conclusion is drawn. Not correct.

(2) The influx of tourist is normally high in months after August as compared to rest of the year - This is incorrect answer because the premise states that specifically during this period of the year influx is higher at Juhu when compared to same period last year. Hence will do nothing to Weaken.

(3) There were few cases of drowning in Juhu beach in the month of August this year - Contender. But I would eliminate this because the conclusion is based on the premise that an "Epidemic" spread in Marine Beach which means spread of disease. The effect that spread of disease has on visitors is not same as drowning as drowning ,in most cases , is result of an action by the tourist whereas epidemic is out of tourist control.

(4) Few of the much awaited tourist attractions have been opened in last three months in the three top beaches of country X - This is the correct answer in my view as this would weaken the conclusion that increase of tourists at Juhu only because of epidemic at Marine by providing an alternative root cause for increase in tourist influx.

(5) Although the two beaches are just 5 miles, there has been no reported case of disease from area around Juhu beach - This would strengthen the argument and not weaken it hence false answer.
.

So my Choice of Answer is (D)
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Re: Marine and Juhu beach, 5 miles from each other, are the two top beache [#permalink] New post   31 May 2016, 08:17
The argument states a causal relation !!
statement D ... Gives another reason as to why there is an increase of tourists in Juhu beach !!
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Re: Marine and Juhu beach, 5 miles from each other, are the two top beache [#permalink] New post   01 Jun 2016, 07:02
this argument demonstrates causal relationship.
to weaken causal relationship we can use two methods.
1.alternate cause
2.reverse relationship.
these two things can go long way if u want to ace cr.as soon as you see causal relationship you should be salivating for the answer choice that demonstrates theses relationship.
having said all that ,you can clearly see answer d executing the first method.although i must agree that it is not explicitly mentioned but see what if out of three beaches that choosen for tourist attractions , the juhu beach is one of them ,so that completely dislodges the conclusion .remember gmat will not give u alternate cause on platter ,you have to infer it in most of the cases.
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Re: Marine and Juhu beach, 5 miles from each other, are the two top beache [#permalink] New post   01 Jun 2016, 08:52
+1 for D.

Tourist attractions opened in last three months can be the plausible reason for increase in the No. of tourists visiting the juhu beach.

To weaken the Argument we should try to get any other cause for the same effect and D does exactly the same.
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Re: Marine and Juhu beach, 5 miles from each other, are the two top beache [#permalink] New post   05 Jun 2016, 05:24
+1 D for as well.
In order to weaken we are seeking an alternative cause in this case.
Hence D.
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Re: Marine and Juhu beach, 5 miles from each other, are the two top beache [#permalink] New post   05 Jun 2016, 13:05
Conclusion: increase in tourists in Juhu beach is directly related to epidemic.
To weaken it we need to attack the cause of the conclusion.
Pre thinking: 1) some event which attracted a big crowd was organised this year in August at Juhu beach.
2) There was no effect of the epidemic at Juhu beach
3) government reduced the entry fee for Juhu beach or any other reason which make our belief stronger that epidemic is not the cause here.

Option D matches with our pre thinking 1. You can eliminate rest of the option easily.

Cheers!!
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Re: Marine and Juhu beach, 5 miles from each other, are the two top beache [#permalink] New post   16 Sep 2021, 04:59
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Re: Marine and Juhu beach, 5 miles from each other, are the two top beache [#permalink]
16 Sep 2021, 04:59
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