TheSenator
Question to all out there... how do you think schools are awarding fellowships in general. Do you think it's based on merit, how much interest you've shown in the school (attended conferences, visits, etc.) Or perceived fit?
There may no be one magic answer to this question at all, but it's worth considering.
Great question, this is my situation:
1. Tuck didn't offer me the fellowship. (I visited the school several times including Tuck DivCo, and my interview was on campus)
2. Kelley had already offered me 100% so it is natural that they didn't make a consortium offer. (I visited the school and had a skype interview)
3. My 3er school Olin offered me the Consortium fellowship

. (I have not visited the school yet, and I had a skype interview).
I have a third offer of 100% of a non-consortium school that I visited, and I was soon rejected by my last choice in the consortium ranking which I didn't visit.
So what does this tell us? well obviously that each school has its own scholarship policy, and that somehow showing interest to the schools is a good recommendation but not guaranteed.
I was a Divco attendee as well and I asked an adcom directly what do you look for when awarding a fellowship? First of all, I believe you DO have to pass through the screen of whether you can handle the rigor of those first two semesters at Tuck. Second, she said they look for 'fit' and they take it very seriously. I'm not an expert, however I don't think it necessarily equates to visitations - this is really where the holistic process they talk about plays in.
You pass thru the screen, then they assess from recs, res, interviews, essays, etc. to see if you fit and are therefore if you are fellowship material. Seems to me Tuck takes the process as seriously as admission (Dawna, the director, signs off on each CGSM fellowship), and they have their own idea of which profiles fit and don't fit at Tuck. You're talking about a school that has a very low yield and less than 20% acceptance rate, so you'd have to assume, they assume if someone wants to come to Tuck it's not just for the fellowship.
I would think Yale and Haas have similar approaches, and the screen may even be more stringent at Haas since it's a public Uni.