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The "1-x" short cut above is best here, but you can verify the long way.

There are 16 possible combinations here. They break down as follows:

1H, 3T: 4 ways (heads first, second, third, or fourth)
2H, 2T: 6 ways (heads in 1&2, 1&3, 1&4, 2&3, 2&4, or 3&4)
3H, 1T: 4 ways (as in the first one, but this time tails first, second, third, or fourth)
4H, 0T: 1 way (HHHH)
0H, 1T: 1 way (TTTT)

There are your 16 ways. 15/16 involve heads. Aren't you glad we have the 1-x trick?
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The "1-x" short cut above is best here, but you can verify the long way.

There are 16 possible combinations here. They break down as follows:

1H, 3T: 4 ways (heads first, second, third, or fourth)
2H, 2T: 6 ways (heads in 1&2, 1&3, 1&4, 2&3, 2&4, or 3&4)
3H, 1T: 4 ways (as in the first one, but this time tails first, second, third, or fourth)
4H, 0T: 1 way (HHHH)
0H, 1T: 1 way (TTTT)

There are your 16 ways. 15/16 involve heads. Aren't you glad we have the 1-x trick?

Thank you all for the answer and explanation, but I'm a bit confused as I've looked up few sources on the Internet (not relating to GMAT), and they all indicated the chance of getting 1 head in 4 flips of a coin is 4/16 = 1/4 , I'm quoting here from a site linked to University page:

Quote:

If we assume that each individual coin is equally likely to come up heads or tails, then each of the above 16 outcomes to 4 flips is equally likely. Each occurs a fraction one out of 16 times, or each has a probability of 1/16.

Alternatively, we could argue that the 1st coin has probability 1/2 to come up heads or tails, the 2nd coin has probability 1/2 to come up heads or tails, and so on for the 3rd and 4th coins, so that the probability for any one particular sequence of heads and tails is just (1/2)x(1/2)x(1/2)x(1/2)=(1/16).

Now lets ask: what is the probability that in 4 flips, one gets N heads, where N=0, 1, 2, 3, or 4. We can get this just by counting the number of outcomes above which have the desired number of heads, and dividing by the total number of possible outcomes, 16.



N # outcomes with N heads probability to get N heads

0 1 1/16 = 0.0625

1 4 4/16 = 1/4 = 0.25

2 6 6/16 = 3/8 = 0.375

3 4 4/16 = 1/4 = 0.25

4 1 1/16 = 0.0625

What is the difference here? is it the "at least" phrase?
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What you're looking at there is the chance of getting heads exactly once, as opposed to at least once. That chance is represented by the first item in my list:

1H, 3T: 4 ways (heads first, second, third, or fourth)
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tiamo2015
John flips a coin 4 times. What is the probability that he gets heads on at least one of the four flips?

(A) 1/16
(B) 1/4
(C) 1/2
(D) 3/4
(E) 15/16


We can use the formula:

P(at least one head on 4 flips) = 1 - P(no heads on 4 flips)

P(no heads on 4 flips) = (1/2)^4 = 1/16.

P(at least one head on 4 flips) = 1 - 1/16 = 15/16.

Answer: E
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tiamo2015
John flips a coin 4 times. What is the probability that he gets heads on at least one of the four flips?

(A) 1/16
(B) 1/4
(C) 1/2
(D) 3/4
(E) 15/16

Given: John flips a coin 4 times.

Asked: What is the probability that he gets heads on at least one of the four flips?

Probability of getting no heads on 4 flips = (1/2)^4 = 1/16

the probability that he gets heads on at least one of the four flips = 1 -1/16 = 15/16

IMO E
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The probability of having heads on at least one of the 4 flips = 1- the probability of having all tails in 4 flips.
= 1-(1÷16)
= 15/16.

Posted from my mobile device
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The probability of getting a heads at least once = 1 - probability of getting tails the four times
P(Head)= 1/2
P(Tail)=1/2
Getting a tail in 4 counts = 1/2 * 1/2 *1/2 *1/2= 1/16

Thus, the probability of getting a heads at least once = 1-1/16 = 15/16
(option e)

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Event: he gets heads on at least one of the four flips
Complement: he gets NO heads on at any of the four flips : (Get Tails in all cases: TTTT).Probability= 1/2*1/2*1/2*1/2=1/16
So, Probability he gets heads on at least one of the four flips= 1- Probability of he gets NO heads on at any of the four flip=1-1/16=15/16
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Given that John flips a coin 4 times, and we need to find What is the probability that he gets heads on at least one of the four flips?

Coin is tossed 4 times => Total number of cases = \(2^4\) = 16

Now in all the cases except TTTT we get at least one head=> 16 - 1 = 15 cases

=> P(Getting at least one Head) = \(\frac{15}{16}\)

So, Answer will be E
Hope it helps!

Watch the following video to learn How to Solve Probability with Coin Toss Problems

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