YOUR WORRY: "Maybe ice rinks are far from stores now. If they're IN the mall, people will shop!"
HERE'S THE TRUTH
You're right - maybe behavior WILL change. We don't know for sure.But here's what matters:WHAT THE QUESTION ACTUALLY ASKS
Question says: What would
most strongly support that the plan will FAIL?
Not asking: What PROVES the plan will definitely fail?
Just asking: What's the BEST evidence against the plan?
SIMPLE EXAMPLE
Imagine:Your friend says: "I'm going to lose weight by eating cake every day. Cake burns calories!"
You say: "But studies show eating cake makes people GAIN weight."
Your friend: "Yeah, but maybe THIS cake is different!"
Who has stronger evidence?You do. Past evidence (cake = weight gain) is better than hoping "maybe it's different this time."
BACK TO OUR QUESTION
The Plan Says: Put ice rink in mall → People will shop → Retailers will come
Answer E Says: History shows ice rink visitors DON'T shopThe Plan Hopes: "But maybe THIS TIME they will!"
Who has stronger evidence?E does. Proven behavior beats hoping for different results.
As an example:Your lemonade stand isn't making enough money and might have to close. You need to attract more customers to generate the revenue necessary to keep the stand open. Your plan: Add free face painting to attract kids, which will bring more customers who will buy lemonade.
Option B: "Your lemonade stand costs $10, but you'll only make $8 from lemonade."
- But wait - you're also selling cookies that might make $5!
- Not complete information
Option E: "People who come for free face painting don't buy lemonade."
- This directly shows your plan (free face painting → lemonade sales) won't work
- Much stronger
ANSWER: EYou're right that we can't be 100% sure behavior won't change. But E gives us the STRONGEST evidence the plan will fail: a proven pattern that goes against what the plan needs. That's good enough for "most strongly support the plan will fail."AnishTrivedi99
I agreed with this and wanted to rule B out.
But E says that currently people don't shop during dog runs or ice rinks. We don't know if currently the nearest dog runs or ice rinks are inside a mall, do we? What if these amenities being inside a mall will entice people to go to the mall's shops? Hence I went with B.
Would love yours and others' opinions on this!