Bunuel
Editorial: History has shown that even though politicians promise that the profits from a lottery will be devoted to educational purposes, the funds are inevitably redirected to other purposes that have nothing to do with education. Therefore, our representatives in the state legislature should not support the proposed lottery because they will inevitably break their promise to use the profits to fund education and direct the funds elsewhere.
The reasoning above is flawed because it
(A) draws a conclusion about a specific population based on a study of a larger population
(B) uses historical data to draw incorrect conclusions about a similar situation in the future
(C) presupposes that a pattern of behavior under one set of conditions will recur under a completely different set of conditions
(D) rejects a proposed solution based on the track record of an altogether different solution
(E) assails a proposed lottery by attacking those who support it rather than the merits of the proposed lottery
OFFICIAL EXPLANATION
Answer: A
STEP 1: Read the question and identify your task.This is a Flaw question. It is asking for the flaw in a complete-the-sentence form.
STEP 2: Read the argument with your task in mind.Find the logical flaw that leads the editorialist to believe that the politicians will redirect the funds away from education.
STEP 3: Know what you’re looking for.The statement asserts that because politicians in general have betrayed the purpose of the lottery that the current legislature will do the same. You will look for something similar in your answer options.
STEP 4: Read every word of every answer choice. Answer A states that the argument draws a conclusion about a specific population (“our representatives in the state legislature”) based on a study of a larger population (“politicians”). This would seem to describe the editorialist’s mistake perfectly, but you should read through the rest of the answers to make sure. Answer B might look good, but the statements do not mention any historical data. It only makes general historical statements. Answer A remains the stronger answer. Answer C is incorrect because you do not know the conditions, historical or current, but even so, the current option on the table, a public lottery to support education, is the same. Both the historical politicians and the current legislature are considering the same solution, so answer D cannot be correct. None of the statements attacks the supporters or the merits of the lottery, only the resulting malfeasance once it is approved, so answer E cannot be the correct choice. The correct choice is answer A.