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In an effort to save money, a country’s government is considering reducing its military spending. However, without military contracts, crucial industries in that country face bankruptcy, which could disrupt the economy. Thus, the same government that is reducing its military spending will eventually have to provide these industries with money for peacetime research and development.

Which of the following states the conclusion of the passage above?

A. The necessity of providing money to keep crucial industries from going bankrupt will discourage the government from reducing its military budget.

B. If the government decreases its military budget, it will eventually be forced to increase its military budget to its former level.

C. The industries that receive research and development money will be successful in their efforts to convert to peacetime manufacturing.

D. In the event of war, this country would be unprepared for military conflict.

E. Reducing military spending to save money will result in some increases in other types of spending



Official Explanation

The first answer choice (what we call answer choice A) might look very tempting at first, because it seems to take the argument to its logical conclusion: “Hey, if cutting military spending is going to end up costing the country money, they may as well not do it.” But the test writers consider answer choice A to be outside the scope of this argument. In fact, if you think about it, we have no idea whether or not the government will be discouraged, or even whether the costs of supplying research and development money will be greater than the savings in military spending. This answer goes much further than the argument itself.

Choice B goes too far as well. Perhaps cutting military spending will turn out to be a bad idea, but even if that is true, how do we know that the country will then eventually decide to increase military spending? What might happen in the future is well outside the scope of this argument.

We can eliminate choice C for the same reason, because it merely goes on a tangent to speculate as to the ultimate fate of the industries mentioned in the passage. Whether these industries succeed in making the transition to peacetime manufacturing is not crucial to this argument.

If you are tempted by choice D, you’re still thinking too much. When a country reduces its military spending, you could argue that it might be less prepared for war—but that is way outside the scope of this passage. Be careful not to impose your own value judgments or thought processes on these questions.

Answer: E
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