Here we go again-
Restating the Argument
• Shelbyville council’s concern: Their forest may be depleted if they keep exporting lumber.
• Proposed solution: Subsidize imports of wood.
• Criticism: This could actually increase the danger to the forest because:
1. Imported wood may bring insects that devastate non-native habitats.
2. Historically, in most cases where cities switched from exporting → importing lumber, their forests were wiped out shortly afterward.
So the conclusion is: Subsidizing imports might not protect Shelbyville’s forest and could even destroy it.
What is the Gap?
The key reasoning jump is in the analogy to other cities:
• Did those other cities’ forests disappear because of importing lumber (e.g., pests in imported wood), or did they disappear for some other reason (e.g., the forest was already overused before the switch)?
If the cause is unrelated, the analogy doesn’t support the conclusion.
Evaluating Each Option hardly...
A. Have lobbyists representing the lumber industry in other cities successfully campaigned against subsidizing imports?
• Lobbying has nothing to do with whether imports harm forests.
B. Would it be feasible for a town that depends on lumber exports to import a significant fraction of the wood it uses?
• Feasibility doesn’t help test whether importing destroys forests.
C. Did the other cities that switched to lumber importing do so because they had deforested the areas within reach of the city?
• Yes! This goes directly to the causal question.
• If forests were already gone before importing, then the destruction wasn’t caused by imports. That would weaken the argument.
• If they weren’t deforested before the switch, then the pattern strongly supports the argument.
• This is the most useful question.
D. What proportion of lumber jobs in Shelbyville would be lost from subsidies of lumber imports?
• This is about jobs/economy, not forest destruction.
• Irrelevant to evaluating the environmental argument.
E. Are the other cities that made the switch to imported lumber in similar climates?
• Climate similarity matters only a little for insect spread but doesn’t directly address whether the forest loss was caused by imports.
• Much weaker than C.
Correct Answer: C
Because it gets at the crucial assumption — whether importing lumber actually causes forest destruction or whether the destruction was already underway for unrelated reasons.
Happy GMAT Prep
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