Lemaitre’s theory (Big Bang–type idea) predicts galaxies accelerating away from each other. We observe exactly that. But there’s another theory (oscillating universe) that also predicts the same observation. Therefore, Lemaitre’s theory must be considered inadequate.
Identify the reasoning flawThe writer’s logic seems to be:
If Lemaitre’s theory were adequate, its predictions would be uniquely confirmed by the observations. Since another theory also predicts the same thing, Lemaitre’s theory is inadequate. But that’s flawed: an observation can support multiple theories. Observational support for one doesn’t make another
“inadequate” unless the evidence is supposed to distinguish them, which it doesn’t here.
The fact that a rival theory predicts the same data does not make Lemaitre’s theory inadequate; it just means this observation doesn’t decide between them. Both could still be adequate explanations.
Eliminate the answer choices(A) No appeal to expert credibility here so irrelevant.
(B) No shift in meaning of a key term identified, irrelevant.
(C) Takes for granted causal connection, not the main flaw; the issue isn’t causation, it’s equating non-uniqueness with inadequacy.
(D) Yes, failing to see that correct prediction by Theory B doesn’t itself constitute evidence against Theory A. That’s exactly the flaw: thinking shared predictive success undermines one theory’s adequacy.
(E) No, the writer doesn’t presume only two explanations; even if there were more, the logic would still be flawed in the same way.
treating
“another theory also predicts this” as a reason to deem the first theory
“inadequate.” But adequacy isn’t judged by uniqueness of predictions, it’s judged by whether predictions match data (which they do). The writer wrongly concludes inadequacy from non-uniqueness.
Answer: D