To avoid a hostile takeover attempt, the board of directors of Wellco, Inc., a provider of life and health insurance, planned to take out large loans and use them to purchase a publishing company, a chocolate factory, and a nationwide chain of movie theaters. The directors anticipated that these purchase initially would plunge the corporation deep into debt, rendering it unattractive to those who wanted to take it over, but that steadily rising insurance rates would allow the company to pay off the debt within five years. Meanwhile, revenues from the three new businesses would enable the corporation as a whole to continue to meet its increased operating expenses. Ultimately, according o the directors’ plan, the diversification would strengthen the corporation by varying the sources and schedules of its annual revenues.
Which of the following, assuming that all are equally possible, would most enhance the chances of the plan’s success?
A) A widespread drought decreases the availability of cacao beans, from which chocolate is manufacture, diving up chocolate prices worldwide.
Wellco has acquired a chocolate factory, whose business is to produce chocolate. If cacao beans become more scarce and chocolate prices increase, less people will consume chocolate. Hence, less chocolate will be produced and the revenues of the Company will decrease. Hence, this option decreases the chances of the plan's success.B) New government regulations require a 30 percent across-the-board rate rollback of all insurance companies, to begin immediately and to be completed within a five-year period.
If regulations require the Board to be partially renewed every year, the incoming Board members may not agree with the decision of the current Board members. Hence, this option could decrease the chances of the plan's success.C) Congress enacts a statute, effective after six months, making it illegal for any parent not to carry health insurance coverage for his or her child.
The revenues of the life and health insurance companies should increase. To the extent to which Wellco is able to capture some of this new revenues, it will be able to increase its revenues. Hence, this option should increase the chances of the plan's success.D) Large-screen televisions drop dramatically in price due to surprise alterations in trade barriers with Japan; movie theater attendance dwindles as a consequence.
If movie theatre attendance decreases, the revenues from the chain of movie theatres will decrease. Hence, this option decreases the chances of the plan's success.E) A new, inexpensive process is discovered for making paper pulp, and paper prices fall to 60 percent of their former level.
The discovery of this process entails that it is now less expensive to produce paper and, hence, to publish books. This could imply the entry of new competitors into the industry and drive existing companies' revenues and profits downwards.
But even if we suppose that no new competitors enter into the industry, why should we infer that the publishing company will maintain its prices while paper production costs have decreased? The company may well be forced to decrease selling prices in response to existing competitors' actions.
Ultimately, this option refers to an element that is secondary to the overall takeover defense strategy. Hence, option C, which refers to the core business and the most relevant element of the takeover defense strategy, would be preferred over this option.