Prompt: The following appeared as a part of an advertisement for Adams, who is seeking reelection as governor:
“Reelect Adams, and you will be voting for proven leadership in improving the state’s economy. Over the past year alone, 70 percent of the state’s workers have had increases in their wages, 5,000 new jobs have been created, and six corporations have located their headquarters here. Most of the respondents in a recent poll said they believed that the economy is likely to continue to improve if Adams is reelected. Adams’s opponent, Zebulon, would lead our state in the wrong direction, because Zebulon disagrees with many of Adams’s economic policies.”
Me essay:
The argument claims that the voters should vote to, and reelect, Adams, partly because of supposedly positive microeconomic trends, a poll results, and the weakness of his rival. Unfortunately the argument does a poor job at substantiating the above mentioned claims, and by not doing so is left unsupported and weak.
First, the argument points to a number of economical factors that have supposedly improved. Factors such as the increase in wage, 5,000 new jobs in the job market, and six new corporations headquarters. However the reasoning of those arguments is flawed by the mere fact that it fails to provide historical figures of those same metrics. It can be, for example, that in the past more than 70% of employees got a wage raise, and that more than 5,000 new jobs were created yearly, and that more than six new headquarters were introduced every year. Without historical information or similar examples, on the basis of which a comparison can be made, the argument is left unsubstantiated and is a stretch.
Second, the argument relies on the results of a poll that was conducted, stating most respondents believe the economy is likely to continue to grow under Adams. This argument is deeply flawed and relies on poor reasoning for the following reasons:
1) It is unclear how was this poll conducted. There are many factors that can skew a poll’s result, and one is left to wonder, do the respondents represent the population properly? Were there any intended sabotage in the results? Is the poll statistically significant? What was the number of respondents? Without proper and in depth information to how was the poll conducted the argument cannot be evaluated, thus further weakening the claim.
2) Even if, supposedly, we assume that the poll was done correctly, its results still do not drive the argument’s point home. As per the argument, the respondents believe the economy is likely to improve if Adams is reelected. Well, that is not to say that they don’t think that the economy can also continue to improve under Zebulon. Moreover, it might be possible that the respondents believe that the economy will outgrow itself under Zebulon than under Adams. Without accurately framing the question as Adams vs Zebulon the results of this poll are unusable, and can be disposed of.
Third, the argument claims that Zebolun will lead the state in the wrong direction because he disagrees with Adams on many economic policies. This, again, is a flawed argument that is laid upon weak foundations. Some policies can have good results, and other great results. The mere fact that Zebolun disagrees with Adams about the economical policies says nothing about the success of Zebolun’s policies. For example, during the Big Depression of 1929, the elected president, John Moory, devised a clever policy to overcome the depression. One that was opposed to his opponent’s policy. But after applying both policies it turned out that both did the job, but Moory’s was even better. That is a great example of how there can be good and great policies simultaneously. Without substantiating the reasons for why Zebolun’s policies are bad the argument is left standing on three legs.
To conclude, the argument tried to make a point on why Adams should be reelected. Unfortunately it is a stretch, it leaves its argument unsubstantiated, and relies on poor and flawed reasoning. Many examples were given above as to how it could have been made better, and by not applying any of it the argument is left weak and flawed.
Looking forward for your grade, thanks!