“In the first four years that Montoya has served as mayor of the city of San Perdito, the population has decreased and
the unemployment rate has increased. Two businesses have closed for each new business that has opened. Under
Varro, who served as mayor for four years before Montoya, the unemployment rate decreased and the population
increased. Clearly, the residents of San Perdito would be best served if they voted Montoya out of office and
reelected VarroThe argument states that the residents of San Perdito would be best served if they voted Montoya out of office and reelected Varro by citing an evidence that in the first four years during which Montoya has served as mayor of the city of San Perdito, the population has decreased and the unemployment rate has increased. The conclusion of argument depends on assumptions , for which no clear evidence is provided. Hence,the argument is weak and has several flaws.
Firstly, the argument states that in the first four years that Montoya has served as mayor of the city of San Perdito, the population has decreased and the unemployment rate has increased. It is assumed that Montoya is responsible for increase in unemployment. May be factors such as global economic recession or digitalisation or some other factors were responsible for increased unemployment rate.
Secondly, the argument states that under Varro, who served as mayor for four years before Montoya, the unemployment rate decreased and the population increased. Again, the argument nowhere mentioned the actual reason for this decrease in unemployment rate. May be this decrease was the outcome of industrial revolution or of some new technology which openely demanded a huge work force.
Finally, it can't be assumed for sure that the residents of San Perdito would be best served if they voted Montoya out of office and reelected Varro because there is no clear evidence for incentives of Montoya and Varro is provided. When san perdito will be in power such economic recession may occur again and as a result unemployment rate increases again.
For example: during the era when india government was run by an economist who was famous for his policies and decisions, Indian economic faced a huge comeback and led to great unemployment, solely, because of the great economic recession.
In conclusion, the argument is flawed for above mentioned reasons. It can be strengthened by adding some more reliable evidence or facts. Without this, the argument is weak and is open to debate.