You see, sometimes I wonder, beyond a point, do these data points even mean anything in case of a waitlist? I remember reading Soojin's remarks stating waitlist statistics vary quite a bit every year. And it makes sense - after all, a lot depends on simple demand-supply (read how many of the admitted students go to other places) and the overall applicant pool for that year.
Add to that the 'designing' of a class, ensuring that the right diversity and mix is present - so if there are already enough admitted students of a certain background, how would they admit the next in line waitlist candidate with the same background unless a similar seat becomes available?
Add to that the overall statistics management that the adcom people have to do - in terms of the average gmat score, average gpa, work ex range, what have you...The adcom sure has a tough job to do...
So, there are so many factors that are just beyond your and my control.
Bottomline - look at these waitlist statistics and pl. do share them, but I don't think we should read too much into them. If the waitlist conversion rate is only 1%, and you and me belong to that 1%, we are still home! Ain't that right?
jb88 wrote:
I did the WL conversion analysis a few pages back using last year's data. Essentially, 3:1 odds are you are looking at a glorified ding, although who knows comparing this to GC data since things here are positively skewed. The acceptance rate seems staggeringly high and then it seems everyone else is WL, very few dings.