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# Commissioner: Budget forecasters project a revenue shortfall

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Director
Joined: 05 Jan 2008
Posts: 549
Commissioner: Budget forecasters project a revenue shortfall  [#permalink]

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08 Apr 2008, 02:09
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10
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Difficulty:

55% (hard)

Question Stats:

57% (01:42) correct 43% (01:49) wrong based on 778 sessions

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Commissioner: Budget forecasters project a revenue shortfall of a billion dollars in the coming fiscal year. Since there is no feasible way to increase the available funds, our only choice is to decrease expenditures. The plan before you outlines feasible cuts that would yield savings of a billion dollars over the coming fiscal year. We will be able to solve the problem we face, therefore, only if we adopt this plan.

This reasoning in the commissioner's argument is flawed because this argument

(A) relies on information that is far from certain
(B) confuses being an adequate solution with being a required solution
(C) inappropriately relies on the opinions of experts
(D) inappropriately employs language that is vague
(E) takes for granted that there is no way to increase available funds
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Re: Commissioner: Budget forecasters project a revenue shortfall  [#permalink]

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04 Apr 2013, 11:40
6
4
I have to say this question's structure is really good and is NOT easy as some one says. I see many debates between B and E. I'm not a pro-CR analyst, but I picked the correct answer B by applying exactly CR-bible chapter 10 - Method of Reasoning question.

A. Analysis:

1. Type of question: Method of Reasoning - Flaw in the reasoning question.

2. What a correct answer looks like: "To identify the right answer choice, carefully consider the reasoning used in the stimulus. The correct answer will identify the error in the author's reasoning and then describe that error in general terms. Beware of answers that describe a portion of the stimulus but fail to identify the error in the reasoning" - Power Score CR Bible, page 214.

- Haft right, haft wrong answers.
- Answers that only describe a portion of stimulus, but not show a reasoning.

B. Apply:

Structure: Revenue shortfall; no way to increase funds; --> have to cut expenditures. --> can solve the problem - revenue shortfall.

Flaw: cut expenditure does not mean the company can solve the real problem - revenue shortfall. The key problem needed to be solved here is how to prevent revenue shortfall, not how to prevent the profit decline.

A, C and D are out right away because they are out of scope.
E is also wrong, it only repeats a portion of stimulus, but it doesn't show a flaw. (favorite trap of GMAC)
B is correct, it states that the argument confuses between an adequate solution (cut expenditure) and a required solution (Prevent revenue shortfall).

Hope it's clear now.

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##### General Discussion
CEO
Joined: 17 May 2007
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08 Apr 2008, 06:02
B for me. Will explain if this is the OA.
Manager
Joined: 28 Sep 2007
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08 Apr 2008, 11:04
E is the only one that makes sense to me. They are ruling out all factors that there can be anyway to increase funds. I have no idea though.
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09 Apr 2008, 19:32
1
I say B.
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09 Apr 2008, 22:10
jingy77 wrote:
E is the only one that makes sense to me. They are ruling out all factors that there can be anyway to increase funds. I have no idea though.

Agree with you, E

Because the argument "E) takes for granted that there is no way to increase available funds", "This reasoning in the commissioner's argument is flawed". We do not must find the flaw of the argument.
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09 Apr 2008, 22:30
1
hahah showdown time B vs E ... cmon prasanna we need the OA.
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10 Apr 2008, 08:36
1
1
im joining th B gang

The problem or flaw with the argument is that he is saying

We will be able to solve the problem we face, therefore, only if we adopt this plan.

So he is ruling out every other option. Why though? What in the argument states that another plan couldn't work either? Why is his plan the only one to solve the problem?
What if there were other ways to reduce expenditures in another plan?

Therefore in B, he is confusing what could be an adequate solution to a required solution (ONLY is key here)
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10 Apr 2008, 09:33
OA is B - found on another thread.
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06 Jun 2009, 05:30
1
terp26 wrote:
im joining th B gang

The problem or flaw with the argument is that he is saying

We will be able to solve the problem we face, therefore, only if we adopt this plan.

So he is ruling out every other option. Why though? What in the argument states that another plan couldn't work either? Why is his plan the only one to solve the problem?
What if there were other ways to reduce expenditures in another plan?

Therefore in B, he is confusing what could be an adequate solution to a required solution (ONLY is key here)

Sound reasoning. I used the same.
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26 Mar 2010, 06:50
prasannar wrote:
Commissioner: Budget forecasters project a revenue shortfall of a billion dollars in the coming fiscal year. Since there is no feasible way to increase the available funds, our only choice is to decrease expenditures. The plan before you outlines feasible cuts that would yield savings of a billion dollars over the coming fiscal year. We will be able to solve the problem we face, therefore, only if we adopt this plan.
This reasoning in the commissioner's argument is flawed because this argument
(A) relies on information that is far from certain
(B) confuses being an adequate solution with being a required solution
(C) inappropriately relies on the opinions of experts
(D) inappropriately employs language that is vague
(E) takes for granted that there is no way to increase available funds
Spoiler: :: OA
B

Confusing. I would still go with E.
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26 Mar 2010, 08:38
1
Is this really how this passage is written in the OG? Terrible! I had to read it multiple times to figure out what was being said and who was being addressed. I can't think rule of a grammar rule that allows you to place the speaker in front of a passage with a colon and then followup it up with a string of dialogue that does not have quotations or indicators of who the speaker is addressing; except maybe in a script.

that aside, I picked B
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26 Mar 2010, 12:29
prasannar wrote:
Commissioner: Budget forecasters project a revenue shortfall of a billion dollars in the coming fiscal year. Since there is no feasible way to increase the available funds, our only choice is to decrease expenditures. The plan before you outlines feasible cuts that would yield savings of a billion dollars over the coming fiscal year. We will be able to solve the problem we face, therefore, only if we adopt this plan.

This reasoning in the commissioner's argument is flawed because this argument

(A) relies on information that is far from certain
(B) confuses being an adequate solution with being a required solution
(C) inappropriately relies on the opinions of experts
(D) inappropriately employs language that is vague
(E) takes for granted that there is no way to increase available funds

Spoiler: :: OA
B

I will go with B

it is the only option which talks about the solution .........whether adequate or required
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02 Aug 2010, 08:36
4
E is something which is explicitly stated in the passage - the commissioner says there is no way to increase available funds. The question asks us to find a flaw in this reasoning. If we choose E - we are simply restating the commissoner's argument. B points the flaw by highlighting where the problem is.
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02 Aug 2010, 10:30
It is clearly stated that "Since there is no feasible way to increase the available funds".....So that eliminates E from the choice!
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09 Aug 2010, 22:21
big debate between B and E

E takes for granted that there is no way to increase available funds, which acording to me cannot be a flaw because there may be or may not be another way to increase available funds.
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21 Oct 2010, 19:56
B.suffecient vs necessary condition
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06 Nov 2010, 10:03
I will go with B

Forecasters forecasting is possibility ---> need adequate solution if problem comes but he is giivng required solution when problem actually exists .
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07 Nov 2010, 04:43
Solution should provide the way out in which, decrease in expenditure should outstrip the revenue shortfall .
But in his solution there is nothing which can convince us for that.Hence answer is B
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30 Mar 2011, 05:36
1
jingy77 wrote:
E is the only one that makes sense to me. They are ruling out all factors that there can be anyway to increase funds. I have no idea though.

E attacks one of the premises that the argument is based on.

However, the question asks you to point out a flaw in the REASONING within the argument. In questions where you're asked to evaluate the reasoning of an argument, the validity of the premise is not relevant.
Re: CR 30: Commisioner   [#permalink] 30 Mar 2011, 05:36

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