Hi Nak07,
What is the source of this question? I ask because it's not written in proper 'gmat' style, it's poorly-worded, doesn't include the 5 answer choices and a number of the 'details' in this question (about the months that the shuttles are launched and the 16 month timeframe) have absolutely NO impact on the calculation (the prompt could have simply stated "what is the probability that at least one of the launches this year will be delayed?"). If you're studying with materials that aren't 'in line' with the prompts that you'll see on Test Day, then you're likely not preparing in the most effective way possible to face the GMAT.
GMAT assassins aren't born, they're made,
Rich
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