Early in the twentieth century, Lake Konfa became very polluted. Recently fish populations have recovered as release of industrial pollutants has declined and the lake’s waters have become cleaner. Fears are now being voiced that the planned construction of an oil pipeline across the lake’s bottom might revive pollution and cause the fish population to decline again. However, a technology for preventing leaks is being installed. Therefore, provided this technology is effective, those fears are groundless. The argument depends on assuming which of the following?The argument says the fears are groundless if the leak-preventing technology works.
The missing assumption is that the pipeline cannot realistically pollute the lake in some other way, apart from
leaks.
A. Apart from development related to the pipeline, there will be no new industrial development around the lake that will create renewed pollution in its waters.
This is too broad. The argument is about fears related to the pipeline, not every possible future source of pollution around the lake.
B. Other than the possibility of a leak, there is no realistic pollution threat posed to the lake by the pipeline’s construction.
This is correct. If the pipeline could pollute the lake in some way other than leaking, then leak-prevention technology would not make the fears groundless. The argument depends on ruling out other realistic pollution threats from the pipeline.
C. There is no reason to believe that the leak-preventing technology would be ineffective when installed in the pipeline in Lake Konfa.
This is not required because the conclusion is already conditional: provided this technology is effective.
D. Damage to the lake’s fish populations would be the only harm that a leak of oil from the pipeline would cause.
This is irrelevant. The argument is about whether pollution could return and fish populations could decline, not about whether oil leaks could cause other harms.
E. The species of fish that are present in Lake Konfa now are the same as those that were in the lake before it was affected by pollution.
This is not required. The argument concerns whether the current fish population may decline again, not whether the species are identical to the earlier ones.
Answer: (B)