Bunuel
Every time Brad goes surfing his probability of suffering a shark bite is p. How many times can Brad go surfing before his probability being bitten at least once is more than 90% ?
(1) p = 1/3
(2) Brad's probability of suffering his first shark bite on his second time surfing is 2/9.
Probability of Brad suffering a shark bite is p,
Probability of not suffering a shark bite = 1-p.
We need to find : How many times can Brad go surfing before his probability being bitten at least once is more than 90% ?
This can be rephrased as
probability of Brad NOT being bitten atleast once is less than 10%.
Statement 1: (1) p = 1/3Not bitten = 1-1/3 = 2/3.
(2/3)^n < 0.10 When n = 6, left hand side becomes less than 0.10. Hence,
Statement 1 is sufficient. Statement 2: (2) Brad's probability of suffering his first shark bite on his second time surfing is 2/9.Brad suffered shark bite during the second time, first time he did not encounter shark bite.
(1-p) * p = 2/9p- p^2 =2/9
9p- 9p^2 =2
9p^2 - 9p +2 =0 Solving it we get two values of P (2/3 and 1/3).
we will get two different values of n. Hence,
not sufficient.
Option A