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techieGuy
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died4me
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died4me
I think the answer is 1/3

The total possibilities are 24
4x3x2

If only one address matches w/ one envelop, the other three match-ups should be incorrect.

Let's say we have A,B,C,and D envelops and A1,B2,C3, and D4 addresses.
If A-A1, then we have two options of matching the other three envelops and 3 addresses: 1) B-C3, C-D4, D-B2 or 2) B-D4, C-B2, D-C4

Thus, 2 options per each of four exact matches generates 8 possibilities.

8/24 = 1/3.

Please correct me if I am wrong. Thanks


Could you please explain how you arrived at the total number of possibilities as 24 ?


I have worked it out this way:
let us assume that the first letter goes into the correct envelope.
The probability of this happening would be 1/4.

For the next letter, out of 3 possible envelopes, it can go into 2 wrong envelopes.
So probablility of letter number 2 going into WRONG envelope = 2/3.

Similarly for letter number 3, probability of going into wrong envelope is = 1/2 (since we have only 2 unfilled envelopes remaining).

Now, if the first letter has gone in the correct envelope, and the 2nd and 3rd letters have gone in the wrong envelopes, then the 4th letter will definitely go in the wrong envelope.
Therefore probability of envelope being wrong for 4th letter = 1/1.

Since all these events are dependent, the total probability would be
1/4*2/3*1/2*1/1 = 1/12.

Please let me know what is wrong in my approach to the problem.
Am facing a lot of difficulties with probability in my preparation. So any help would be highly appreciated.
Thank you.
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jaynayak
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1/3

Number of ways four letters can be arranged = 4! = 24

Lets say A B C and D are the four letters. And they have to go into
[1] [2] [3] [4] envelopes.

When only letter A goes to the correct envelope. The other letters can be arrange in 2 ways. CDB and DBC

Similarily when only one of the four letters go into the right envelope, other letters can be arranged in 8 ways.

Hence P=8/24 = 1/3



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