x97agarwal
Healthcare is a risky field right now. Obama is goign to change the face of healthcare and so are the demographic changes that are coming in teh next ten years.
Read all the articles in the WSJ about Genentech and Amgen - the only ones with growth - they are also facing lean pipelines and movign to small molecules from proteins to bloster their pipeline. I am sure you know how difficult it is to discover new therapies for the complex diseases we now face - the likes of cholestrol, diabetes, blood pressure have been already conquered and medicare and the U.S. healthcare system is only looking at pharma companies as a solution to their problems. I am not trying to discourage you but just a few things to consider.
I disagree with a lot of this post. Sure political forces could negative influence external factors for the industry, but other statements appear to be characterized incorrectly.
Demographic changes are a negative and positive for the industry. Pricing pressures will occur as more boomers age, but there will be (unfortunately) a proliferation of many pharmaceutical markets - cancer, Alzheimer's, diabetes, etc.
Also, to say DNA and AMGN are the only ones with growth is absurd. First off, I'm fairly certain that Amgen's revenues are shrinking, or are at least fairly stagnant, as the regulatory crackdown on EPO increases. DNA is in good shape, but there is also a burgeoning class of smaller and mid-size companies with impressive pipelines in growing markets. Further, the pharma market is one of the least globalized in the sense that almost no proprietary drug markets currently exist outside of the US, EU, Japan and a few other rich countries. This is changing. Big pharma and others are investing heavily in emerging markets as incomes rise in those countries and governments find their cash coffers in better shape, thus enabling them to reimburse more often for patient treatment.
Regarding moves towards small molecules, this is wholly untrue. Maybe it is in the case of DNA and AMGN (which I'm not so sure of), but it is not for big pharma themselves and small biotech. Vaccines are a huge new growth area with the launch of the HPV vaccines, an improved rotavirus vaccine, new varicella-zoster vaccines, etc, and the dawn of new technologies on both the antigen and adjuvant side. Further, many large companies have expressed an interest in having therapeutic biologics make up ~50% of their pipelines.
Lastly, it is patently untrue to say that we have "conquered" diabetes. This is one of the most significant healthcare crises facing the developed world and there is an abundance of research in both more effective therapeutics and the improved delivery of existing ones. Also, type 1 diabetes, as a distinctly different autoimmune disease, is an open field, albeit a smaller one.
There are many things to be concerned about in the healthcare field, but I think you are overextending what are mostly sociopolitical problems to false issues about the current and future state of medical need and the technological make up of the industry's pipelines.
edit: I'll second terry12's comments. Wharton, Northwestern, Duke all have reputable healthcare specific programs, but I certainly wouldn't rule out the big names such as Harvard, Stanford just because they don't have a healthcare focus.