Bunuel
John tossed a fair coin 3 times. What is the probability that the outcome was “tails” exactly twice?
A. 1/8
B. 1/4
C. 3/8
D. 1/2
E. 9/10
Total number of outcomes = 2*2*2 = 8
Number of favorable outcomes = Number of ways two places (for tails) can be chosen out of 3 slots = 3C2 = 3
So probability = 3/8
AlternativeProbability of getting tail in single toss = 1/2
Probability of getting head in single toss = 1/2
Probability of getting First Tail = 1/2
Probability of getting Second tail (Such that first tail has occurred, this incidentally is also the probability when first was head and second is tail) = 1/2 * 1/2 = 1/4
Probability of getting Third Head ( such that first was tail and second was tail) = 1/2 * 1/2 * 12 = 1/8
As you can notice the probability will be 1/8 whatever the sequence of Heads and tails.
We can arrange 2 Tails and one head in 3 ways (3C2 ways OR (3P3)/2! OR enumeration, whichever method you prefer to get here)
Since the favorable even can happen in either of these 3 ways, so Probability = 3 * 1/8 = 3/8