Lincolnshire sees the highest rate of Eastern-European immigration in all of England and Wales. However, of the Eastern European immigrants who emigrated to England and Wales, the percentage who immigrated to Lincolnshire has decreased by seven percentage points over the past five years. Since many local businesses in Lincolnshire cater to Eastern European immigrants, this decline is likely to have a negative effect on these businesses and the economy of Lincolnshire.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the argument given?This is a Weaken question. So, before going to the answer choices, we should note the conclusion, how it's supported, and how the reasoning of the argument works.
Conclusion:
this decline (in the percentage of immigrants moving to Lincolnshire) is likely to have a negative effect on these businesses and the economy of LincolnshireSupporting premises:
of the Eastern European immigrants who emigrated to England and Wales, the percentage who immigrated to Lincolnshire has decrease seven percentage points over the past five yearsand
many local businesses in Lincolnshire cater to Eastern European immigrantsWe see that the reasoning of the argument is straightforward. Businesses in Lincolnshire depend on immigrants, and the percentage of immigrants to England and Wales who move to Lincolnshire has decreased. So, the author concludes that businesses in Lincolnshire will be negatively impacted by this change.
The correct answer will show that, even though the premises are true, the conclusion may not be.
A. Lincolnshire attracts more Eastern European immigrants than does any other part of England and Wales.This choice has no effect on the strength of the argument.
After all, even if Lincolnshire attracts more immigrants than any other part, the percentage of immigrants going there has declined. So, it still makes sense to conclude that businesses there will be negatively affected by that change.
Eliminate.
B. Eastern European immigrants were more likely to move to Southampton last year than such immigrants were five years ago.This fact is in line with the argument.
After all, if a smaller percentage of immigrants have been moving to Lincolnshire, then it makes sense that immigrants have become more likely to move to somewhere else, such to Southampton.
Eliminate.
C. Eastern European immigrants to Lincolnshire lived across a wider range of neighborhoods last year than they did five years ago.Immigrants living across a wider range of neighborhoods just means that they are more spread out.
Their being spread out wouldn't offset any negative effect a decline in immigration to Lincolnshire would have on businesses there.
Eliminate.
D. The number of people who emigrated elsewhere from Lincolnshire was greater last year than it was five years ago.This strengthens, rather than weakens, the argument.
After all, it indicates that not only has there been a decline in the percentage of immigrants moving to Lincolnshire, but also there has been an increase in the number of people leaving the area, a trend that could have negative implications for businesses there.
Eliminate.
E. The number of Eastern European immigrants to England and Wales has increased significantly over the past five years.This choice is interesting.
After all, if the number of immigrants to England and Wales has increased significantly, then it could be that, even if the percentage of immigrants moving to Lincolnshire has decreased, the number of immigrants moving to Lincolnshire has not decreased. After all, a smaller percentage of a bigger total could be the same number or even a higher one.
So, this choice casts doubt on the conclusion that businesses in Lincolnshire will be affected negatively by the decrease in the percentage of immigrants moving there by indicating that, even though there has been a decrease in the percentage of immigrants moving to Lincolnshire, the actual number of immigrants moving there may not have decreased much or at all.
Keep.
Correct answer: E