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IMO A

A. Museum members account for only a small portion of the gift shop’s sales
Correct Answer - This attacks the Manager's standpoint. Since we know the major revenue is coming from Gift Shop. Now even though more members are enrolled but they don't buy that means revenue isn't going to grow

B. The museum manager would have shared information about gift shop sales if there had been any significant change.
Reason to eliminate - This would mean that there's no rise in revenue (which would have strengthen the Board's point)

C. Board members are responsible for financial oversight of the museum.
Reason to eliminate - Irrelevant

D. The board member served on the committee that chose the manager and usually supports her.
Reason to eliminate - Irrelevant

E. This year's gift shop receipts are in the process of being audited for accuracy.
Reason to eliminate - This doesn't strengthen or weaken Board's standpoint. If the receipts are being audited, this would not mean that the sales have gift shop have gone up or have gone down.
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Hi, can anyone help me understand the stimulus?
As per my understanding, the conclusion is the board members statement that, "the analysis is flawed'. ie the reasoning provided by the manage to make the prediction that "..the museum will bring in more money this year than last year" is not sufficient.

However only in the case of the gift shop bringing in no extra revenue than the previous year, does this prediction stand untrue. Even in a case of no increase in gift shop revenue, the prediction stands true, as the manager just predicts that "the museum will bring in more money". There are no quantitative adjectives even to make a comparative claim.
So a potential case where maybe the members shop lesser than last year and the increase in membership + the fees are not enough to offset the decrease in revenue?.

Whereas option A "Museum members account for only a small portion of the gift shop’s sales" doesn't do anything to support the conclusion that the analysis is flawed, as it is not connecting to any potential case that the gift shop's revenue will not increase from previous year.
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You're trying to prove the manager's prediction is wrong. But that's not what the question asks!

The Board Member says the "analysis is flawed" - meaning the evidence is insufficient - the logic is off, NOT that the conclusion is necessarily wrong.

Why Option A Works:
Think of it this way:
- Gift shop revenue = 2x more important than membership fees
- Manager only cited membership increase as evidence

The Manager might be implicitly assuming: "More members → more gift shop sales too"

Option A destroys this hidden assumption:

If members account for only a small portion of gift shop sales, then:
- The 20% membership increase tells us almost nothing about gift shop revenue
- Gift shop sales depend mostly on NON-members
- Since gift shop is 2x more important than memberships, the Manager has ignored the biggest revenue driver without any basis to assume it will perform well

We don't need to show gift shop revenue will drop. We only need to show the Manager has no basis to assume anything about it. Option A does exactly that - it disconnects membership growth from gift shop performance.

Therefore: The analysis IS flawed because the evidence (membership up 20%) doesn't support the conclusion (total revenue up) when the most important factor (gift shop) is unaddressed AND unconnected to membership.

Answer: A

johanzac
Hi, can anyone help me understand the stimulus?
As per my understanding, the conclusion is the board members statement that, "the analysis is flawed'. ie the reasoning provided by the manage to make the prediction that "..the museum will bring in more money this year than last year" is not sufficient.

However only in the case of the gift shop bringing in no extra revenue than the previous year, does this prediction stand untrue. Even in a case of no increase in gift shop revenue, the prediction stands true, as the manager just predicts that "the museum will bring in more money". There are no quantitative adjectives even to make a comparative claim.
So a potential case where maybe the members shop lesser than last year and the increase in membership + the fees are not enough to offset the decrease in revenue?.

Whereas option A "Museum members account for only a small portion of the gift shop’s sales" doesn't do anything to support the conclusion that the analysis is flawed, as it is not connecting to any potential case that the gift shop's revenue will not increase from previous year.
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