Re: Newspaper article: Currently there are several
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21 Sep 2024, 05:38
1. The argument states that the prime minister endorsed Ann Shuh.
2. It mentions that the last candidate endorsed by the prime minister won their governorship.
3. Based on these points, it concludes that Ann Shuh will probably win.
A. It asserts a sweeping generalization about a group on the basis of evidence regarding only a single, possibly unrepresentative, member of that group.
The argument isn't making a generalization about a group based on one member. There is no group here.
B. It takes for granted that if Ann Shuh wins the governorship, the prime minister's endorsement will have been the main cause of her victory.
The argument doesn't explicitly state this. It's focused on predicting the outcome, not analyzing the causes of a potential victory.
C. It relies on single point of similarity between two situations, without adequately addressing the possibility of relevant differences between those situations.
This is a strong contender. The argument is indeed relying on a single point of similarity (prime minister's endorsement) between two situations (the previous governorship race and the current one) without considering other factors that might differ.
D. It confuses a claim about a past event with a prediction about a similar, future event.
The argument isn't confusing a past claim with a future prediction. It's using a past event to make a prediction, which is different. The argument is consciously making a prediction based on a claim and not confusing between a claim and a prediction.
E. It overlooks the possibility that the last candidate the prime minister endorsed for a provincial governorship could not have won the position without that endorsement.
This option suggests that the prime minister’s endorsement might have been crucial to the last candidate’s success. While this is an interesting consideration, it doesn't address the core flaw in the argument, which is the assumption that one successful endorsement guarantees another.
Therefore, the best answer is C.